0000000000181379

AUTHOR

Group. Piter Collaborating

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Forecasting Hepatitis C liver disease burden on real-life data. Does the hidden iceberg matter to reach the elimination goals?

2018

Abstract Background & Aims Advances in direct‐acting antiviral treatment of HCV have reinvigorated public health initiatives aimed at identifying affected individuals. We evaluated the possible impact of only diagnosed and linked‐to‐care individuals on overall HCV burden estimates and identified a possible strategy to achieve the WHO targets by 2030. Methods Using a modelling approach grounded in Italian real‐life data of diagnosed and treated patients, different linkage‐to‐care scenarios were built to evaluate potential strategies in achieving the HCV elimination goals. Results Under the 40% linked‐to‐care scenario, viraemic burden would decline (60%); however, eligible patients to treat w…

HCV; WHO; chronic infection; linkage to careLiver Cirrhosismedicine.medical_specialtyCarcinoma HepatocellularSustained Virologic ResponseViral HepatitisSettore MED/12 - GASTROENTEROLOGIAWorld Health OrganizationAntiviral AgentsNO03 medical and health sciencesLiver diseaseWHO0302 clinical medicinePharmacotherapyCost of IllnessCause of DeathHealth caremedicineHumans030212 general & internal medicineViremiachronic infection HCV linkage to care WHODisease EradicationMortalityIntensive care medicineCause of deathlinkage to carechronic infection; HCV; linkage to care; WHODisease EradicationHepatologybusiness.industryPublic healthCarcinomaLiver NeoplasmsHepatocellularHepatitis Cmedicine.diseasechronic infectionHepatitis CMarkov Chainschronic infection; HCV; linkage to care; WHO; Antiviral Agents; Carcinoma Hepatocellular; Cost of Illness; Disease Eradication; Hepatitis C; Humans; Italy; Liver Cirrhosis; Liver Neoplasms; Markov Chains; Mortality; Sustained Virologic Response; Viremia; World Health Organization; Cause of DeathItalychronic infection;HCV;linkage to care;WHOHCVchronic infection; HCV; linkage to care; WHO; Hepatology030211 gastroenterology & hepatologybusinessViral hepatitis
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