The performance of Value-at-Risk models on the OBX index

2013

Masteroppgave i økonomi og administrasjon - Universitetet i Agder 2013 The measuring of risk has become one of the main fields in finance during the last two decades. Value-at-Risk (VaR) has become one of the most important risk measures and is widely used for numerous applications. This thesis compares different approaches to VaR based on traditional methods such as Historical Simulation, Moving Average and Exponentially Weighted Moving Average as well as advanced approaches based on GARCH models. Comparison is done on the OBX index return data, which is the main benchmark index on the Oslo Stock Exchange. The performance of the different VaR models is evaluated with out of sample backtest…