0000000000576613
AUTHOR
K. Eichhorn
SARS-CoV-2 vaccination modelling for safe surgery to save lives: data from an international prospective cohort study
Abstract Background Preoperative SARS-CoV-2 vaccination could support safer elective surgery. Vaccine numbers are limited so this study aimed to inform their prioritization by modelling. Methods The primary outcome was the number needed to vaccinate (NNV) to prevent one COVID-19-related death in 1 year. NNVs were based on postoperative SARS-CoV-2 rates and mortality in an international cohort study (surgical patients), and community SARS-CoV-2 incidence and case fatality data (general population). NNV estimates were stratified by age (18–49, 50–69, 70 or more years) and type of surgery. Best- and worst-case scenarios were used to describe uncertainty. Results NNVs were more favourable in su…
First Versus Second Order Phase Transitions in the Three-Dimensional Three-State Potts Model in Random Fields
The ordering of three-states Potts ferromagnets on the simple cubic lattice exposed to random fields is investigated by extensive Monte Carlo simulations. Evidence is presented that the transition is second order for intermediate strength of the fields, while it presumably is first order for large field strength. The implications for various theoretical predictions are briefly discussed.