0000000000765384
AUTHOR
Toru Ikegami
Charting the Path Forward for Risk Prediction in Liver Transplant for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: International Validation of HALTHCC Among 4,089 Patients.
Prognosticating outcomes in liver transplant (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) continues to challenge the field. Although Milan Criteria (MC) generalized the practice of LT for HCC and improved outcomes, its predictive character has degraded with increasing candidate and oncological heterogeneity. We sought to validate and recalibrate a previously developed, preoperatively calculated, continuous risk score, the Hazard Associated with Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HALTHCC), in an international cohort. From 2002 to 2014, 4,089 patients (both MC in and out [25.2%]) across 16 centers in North America, Europe, and Asia were included. A continuous risk score using pre-…
An Intention-to-Treat Competing-Risk Model for Candidates with Hepatocellular Cancer Awaiting Liver Transplantation
Background: Since the introduction of the Milan Criteria (MC), all systems, which describe post-transplant prognosis of patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC), are exclusively based on characteristics available at surgery, and neglect the intention-to-treat principles. This study, based on a large international HCC patient cohort, aimed to develop comprehensive intention-to-treat models through a competing-risk analysis. We used data available at first referral to predict the risk of delisting and HCC-related death after liver transplantation (LT). Methods: Twelve centres in the United States, Europe and Asia created a Derivation Set (n=2,318) and an external Validation Set (n=773) of …