0000000001078421

AUTHOR

Baiqing Sun

Prediction of stock index futures prices based on fuzzy sets and multivariate fuzzy time series

Abstract This paper makes a prediction of Chinese stock index (CSI) future prices using fuzzy sets and multivariate fuzzy time series method. We select Chinese CSI 300 index futures as the research object. The fuzzy time series model combines the fuzzy theory and the time series theory, thus this model can solve the fuzzy data in stock index futures prices. This paper establishes a multivariate model and improves the accuracy of computation. By combing traditional fuzzy time series models and rough set method, we use fuzzy c-mean algorithm to make the data into discrete. Further more, we deal with the rules in mature modules of the rough set and then refine the rules using data mining algor…

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Fuzzy Investment Portfolio Selection Models Based on Interval Analysis Approach

Published version of an article from the journal: Mathematical Problems in Engineering. Also available from the publisher:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/628295 This paper employs fuzzy set theory to solve the unintuitive problem of the Markowitz mean-variance (MV) portfolio model and extend it to a fuzzy investment portfolio selection model. Our model establishes intervals for expected returns and risk preference, which can take into account investors' different investment appetite and thus can find the optimal resolution for each interval. In the empirical part, we test this model in Chinese stocks investment and find that this model can fulfill different kinds of investors' objectives. Fi…

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