0000000001137022
AUTHOR
K. Campbell
SARS-CoV-2 vaccination modelling for safe surgery to save lives: data from an international prospective cohort study
Abstract Background Preoperative SARS-CoV-2 vaccination could support safer elective surgery. Vaccine numbers are limited so this study aimed to inform their prioritization by modelling. Methods The primary outcome was the number needed to vaccinate (NNV) to prevent one COVID-19-related death in 1 year. NNVs were based on postoperative SARS-CoV-2 rates and mortality in an international cohort study (surgical patients), and community SARS-CoV-2 incidence and case fatality data (general population). NNV estimates were stratified by age (18–49, 50–69, 70 or more years) and type of surgery. Best- and worst-case scenarios were used to describe uncertainty. Results NNVs were more favourable in su…
Mycotoxin mixtures in food and feed: a holistic, innovative, flexible modelling approach for risk assessment MYCHIF
Mycotoxin contamination can occur in many agricultural products both destined to food and feed. Mycotoxins are produced as the result of fungal metabolism and plant-pathogen interaction. Therefore, many structurally-related congeners, defined as modified mycotoxins are generated by plant &/or fungi metabolism, or food processing, and coexist with their native forms. Studies investigating the co-occurrence of multiple-mycotoxins reported 75%100% of samples containing more than one mycotoxin, referring to native compounds and 100% reported multiple modified forms. A major challenge in a risk assessment is to depict the biosynthesis of mycotoxin mixtures and their realistic occurrence. Over th…