6533b7cffe1ef96bd1258702

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Monitoring and prediction in early warning systems for rapid mass movements

Dani OrM. SätteleMarc SchleissMarc SchleissAndrew KosAlexis BerneAlessio FerrariPeter LehmannManfred StähliA. Van HerwijnenSarah M. SpringmanChristian HuggelBrian W. Mcardell

subject

lcsh:GE1-350EngineeringOperations researchWarning systembusiness.industry1900 General Earth and Planetary Scienceslcsh:QE1-996.5lcsh:Geography. Anthropology. RecreationState of practicelcsh:TD1-1066lcsh:Geology10122 Institute of Geographylcsh:GRisk analysis (engineering)General Earth and Planetary Sciences910 Geography & travellcsh:Environmental technology. Sanitary engineeringbusinessEarth and Planetary Sciences (all)lcsh:Environmental sciences

description

Rapid mass movements (RMM) pose a substantial risk to people and infrastructure. Reliable and cost-efficient measures have to be taken to reduce this risk. One of these measures includes establishing and advancing the state of practice in the application of early warning systems (EWSs). EWSs have been developed during the past decades and are rapidly increasing. In this paper, we focus on the technical part of EWSs, i.e., the prediction and timely recognition of imminent hazards, as well as on monitoring slopes at risk and released mass movements. Recent innovations in assessing spatial precipitation, monitoring and precursors of the triggering and deformation of RMM offer new opportunities for next-generation EWSs. However, technical advancement can only be transferred into more reliable, operational EWSs with an adequate well-instructed dedicated staff. To this end, an intense dialog between scientists, engineers and those in charge of warning, as well as further experience with new comprehensive prototype systems jointly operated by scientists and practitioners, will be essential.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-905-2015