6533b7d5fe1ef96bd126457c

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Risk-Managed Industry Momentum and Momentum Crashes

Joni RuotsalainenKlaus GrobysKlaus GrobysJanne ÄIjö

subject

Momentum (technical analysis)Financial economicsTime windowsEconomicsCapital asset pricing modelVariance (accounting)

description

This is the first paper that investigates Barosso and Santa-Clara’s (2015) risk-managed momentum strategy in an industry momentum setting. We investigate traditional momentum strategies and Novy-Marx (2012) strategy. We also explore the impact of different variance forecast horizons on the average payoffs. We find that risk-managed industry momentum payoffs generate considerably higher returns than plain momentum strategies. Notably, risk-managed payoffs increase linearly as the time window for variance forecasts are contracted which is consistent for all different strategies.

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2844140