6533b81ffe1ef96bd1278e77

RESEARCH PRODUCT

THE IMPACT OF ELECTION RESULTS ON THE MEMBER NUMBERS OF THE LARGE PARTIES IN BAVARIA AND GERMANY

Christian HirtreiterJohannes J. Schneider

subject

Trend analysisComputational Theory and MathematicsSznajd modelPolitical scienceEconometricsGeneral Physics and AstronomyStatistical and Nonlinear PhysicsTime seriesSocial organizationSimulation basedMathematical PhysicsComputer Science Applications

description

In this paper, we investigate the relations between the numbers of members of various parties and their results in the elections in Bavaria and in Germany. Deriving from the finding that there is a strong time-delayed correlation between these data-sets for the two largest parties in Bavaria, we show in a simulation based on the Sznajd model that such a correlation leads to very stable majorities, just as in Bavaria.

https://doi.org/10.1142/s0129183105007820