6533b820fe1ef96bd1279bd4

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Multi-Phase epidemic model by a Markov chain

Stefania Maria BuccellatoElisabetta Tornatore

subject

Statistics and ProbabilityExtinctionMarkov chainMulti phaseComputer scienceEpidemic models Markov chain Numerical simulationStatistical physicsCondensed Matter PhysicsEpidemic model

description

Abstract In this paper we propose a continuous-time Markov chain to describe the spread of an infective and non-mortal disease into a community numerically limited and subjected to an external infection. We make a numerical simulation that shows tendencies for recurring epidemic outbreaks and for fade-out or extinction of the infection.

yearjournalcountryeditionlanguage
2008-06-01
10.1016/j.physa.2008.01.115http://hdl.handle.net/10447/3766