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RESEARCH PRODUCT

The evolution of COVID-19: A discontinuous approach.

Clara Doménech-casasúsAntonio Doménech-carbó

subject

National healthStatistics and Probability2019-20 coronavirus outbreakBasis (linear algebra)Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)COVID-19Classification of discontinuitiesCondensed Matter Physics01 natural sciencesTopological phase transitionsArticle010305 fluids & plasmasTime spaceDiscontinuities0103 physical sciencesLogisticStatistical physics010306 general physicsMathematics

description

The evolution of the COVID-19 disease is monitored on the basis of the daily number of infected patients and the daily number of deaths provided from national health agencies. The variation of such parameters with time parallels that described for the growth/decay of historic transportation systems revealing the appearance of discontinuities. The evolution of the pandemic disease is represented in terms of two nominally equivalent formulations: a logistic model with sharp changes in its rate parameters, and in topological terms resulting in 2nd order phase transitions in the infected patients/time space.

10.1016/j.physa.2021.125752https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33456130