6533b851fe1ef96bd12a8d6d
RESEARCH PRODUCT
Analysis of the renal transplant waiting list in the País Valencià (Spain).
David ConesaHermelinda VanaclochaOscar ZurriagaJordi Pérez-panadésM. J. García-blascoMiguel A. Martinez-beneitoJ.j. AbellánCarmen Armerosubject
Statistics and ProbabilityQueueing theoryOperations researchWaiting ListsEpidemiologyComputer scienceSystems TheoryBayes TheoremBayesian inferenceKidney transplantKidney TransplantationSet (abstract data type)Bayesian statisticsWaiting listRenal transplantSpainHumansQueuedescription
In this paper we analyse the renal transplant waiting list of the Pais Valencia in Spain, using Queueing theory. The customers of this queue are patients with end-stage renal failure waiting for a kidney transplant. We set up a simplified model to represent the flow of the customers through the system, and perform Bayesian inference to estimate parameters in the model. Finally, we consider several scenarios by tuning the estimations achieved and computationally simulate the behaviour of the queue under each one. The results indicate that the system could reach equilibrium at some point in the future and the model forecasts a slow decrease in the size of the waiting list in the short and middle term.
| year | journal | country | edition | language |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-10-13 | Statistics in medicine |