6533b851fe1ef96bd12a9473

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Sea surges at Monaco and Nice: present-day and future variability (1998-2100).

Albin UllmannL. Guyard

subject

Surcotes marineschangement climatiqueclimate change[SDU.STU.CL] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatologycoastal submersionCôte d’AzurSea surgesrisque de submersionFrench Riviera

description

Sea surges arerapid increase of the level of the sea under atmospheric conditions that could lead to coastal submersion havingstrong impacts especially for coastal towns of the French Riviera such as Nice and the principality of Monaco.Interannual variability of the highest surges at Monaco is robustly simulates by a linear regression usingbarometric conditions over [3-10°E]-[40-45°N] as a predictor. According to 15 global circulation models,highest surges at Monaco could stay stationary for two different climate change scenarios (RCP4.5 andRCP8.5).

https://hal.science/hal-01860681