Forecasting the Geospatial and Temporal Patterns of Pollen Season im Europe Using Statistical and Deterministic Modelling

6533b862fe1ef96bd12c673e

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Forecasting the Geospatial and Temporal Patterns of Pollen Season im Europe Using Statistical and Deterministic Modelling

Olga Ritenberga

subject

Ģeogrāfija Geography Physical Geography Fiziskā ģeogrāfija

description

Promocijas darbs ir pētījums par temporālo un ģeotelpisku putekšņu sezonas prognozēšanu. Pētījuma pirmā daļā, pēc 12 gadu diennakts datiem tika izveidots lokāls modelis diennakts putekšņu prognozēšanai Rīgā ar precizitāti virs 80%. Otrā pētījumā tika izveidots universāls modelis nākamā gada sezonālā putekšņu indeksa prognozēšanai Ziemeļeiropā ar precizitāti līdz 92%. Promocijas darba trešā daļa tika veltīta olīvu putekšņu modeļu ansambļa izveidei Eiropā. Pierādīts, ka sešu modeļu ansamblis darbojas ievērojami labāk par katru atsevišķu modeli. Tika secināts, ka ir iespējams prognozēt putekšņu daudzumu gaisā dažādos temporālos mērogos – pēc meteoroloģiskās situācijas aprēķināt nākamā gada sezonālo putekšņu indeksu un pēc lokālās meteoroloģiskās prognozes datiem, prognozēt diennakts putekšņu koncentrāciju noteiktā vietā.

year	journal	country	edition	language
2017-01-01

https://dspace.lu.lv/dspace/handle/7/37532

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