Search results for " ExPEC"
showing 10 items of 304 documents
Temporal evolution of some mortality indicators: Application to Spanish data
2012
[EN] In Spain, as in other developed countries, significant changes in mortality patterns have occurred during the 20th and 21st centuries. One reflection of these changes is life expectancy, which has improved in this period, although the robustness of this indicator prevents these changes from being of the same order as those for the probability of death. If, moreover, we bear in mind that life expectancy offers no information as to whether this improvement is the same for different age groups, it is important and necessary to turn to other mortality indicators whose past and future evolution in Spain we are going to study. These indicators are applied to Spanish mortality data for the pe…
Converting retirement benefit into a life care annuity with graded benefits
2016
AbstractThis paper deals with life care annuities, i.e. bundled products comprising a life annuity and long-term care insurance. It aims to assess the cost of converting retirement benefit into a life care annuity with graded benefits using a pre-existing public pay-as-you-go pension scheme. With this objective in mind, we present an actuarial method based on array calculus for valuing this type of life care annuity. The health dynamics of the annuitant rely on a reversible illness-death multistate framework. The paper contains a numerical example in which mortality and disability assumptions are based on data from the USA and Australia, although this should be viewed simply as an illustrat…
Evaluating currency crises: the case of the European monetary system
2007
In this paper we examine the nature of currency crises. We ascertain whether the currency crises of the European Monetary System (EMS) were based either on fundamentals, or on self-fulfilling market expectations driven by extrinsic uncertainty. In particular, we extend previous work of Jeanne and Masson (J Int Econ 50:327–350, 2000) regarding the evaluation of currency crisis. We contribute to the existing literature proposing the use of Markov regime-switching with time-varying transition probability model. Our empirical results suggest that the currency crises of the EMS were not due only to market expectations driven by external uncertainty, or ‘sunspots’, but also to fundamental variabl…
Degree course change and student performance: a mixed-effect approach
2015
This paper focuses on students credits earning speed over time and its determinants, dealing with the huge percentage of students who do not take the degree within the legal duration in the Italian University System. A new indicator for the performance of the student career is proposed on real data, concerning the cohort of students enrolled at a Faculty of the University of Palermo (followed for 7 years). The new indicator highlights a typical zero-inflated distribution and suggests to investigate the effect of the degree course (DC) change on the student career. A mixed-effect model for overdispersed data is considered, with the aim of taking into account the individual variability as wel…
Simulation of BSDEs with jumps by Wiener Chaos Expansion
2016
International audience; We present an algorithm to solve BSDEs with jumps based on Wiener Chaos Expansion and Picard's iterations. This paper extends the results given in Briand-Labart (2014) to the case of BSDEs with jumps. We get a forward scheme where the conditional expectations are easily computed thanks to chaos decomposition formulas. Concerning the error, we derive explicit bounds with respect to the number of chaos, the discretization time step and the number of Monte Carlo simulations. We also present numerical experiments. We obtain very encouraging results in terms of speed and accuracy.
The influence of task-irrelevant music on language processing: syntactic and semantic structures.
2011
Recent research has suggested that music and language processing share neural resources, leading to new hypotheses about interference in the simultaneous processing of these two structures. The present study investigated the effect of a musical chord's tonal function on syntactic processing (Experiment 1) and semantic processing (Experiment 2) using a cross-modal paradigm and controlling for acoustic differences. Participants read sentences and performed a lexical decision task on the last word, which was, syntactically or semantically, expected or unexpected. The simultaneously presented (task-irrelevant) musical sequences ended on either an expected tonic or a less-expected subdominant ch…
Tutela e sicurezza del lavoro tra centro e periferia: la sicurezza sui luoghi di lavoro
2013
Il saggio prende in esame la complessa questione del riparto di competenze tra Stato e Regioni alla luce del Titolo V della Costituzione in materia di salute e sicurezza sui luoghi di lavoro. Il riparto di competenze tra centro e periferia è stato oggetto di una limitata analisi da parte della dottrina e della giurisprudenza, che si sono concentrate in particolare sulla disciplina del mercato del lavoro. L’Autore descrive un sistema multilivello, caratterizzato dalla compresenza di fonti nazionali e regionali, della contrattazione collettiva, nonché di codici di condotta. Sulla scorta di una ricostruzione del quadro normativo e dei percorsi della giurisprudenza, il saggio propone una lettur…
Negative results in the theory of games with lexicographic utilities
2003
When players may have lexicographic utilities, there are: (i) extensive games having a non-empty set of equilibria but empty sets of sequentially rational, sequential and perfect equilibria (ii) normal form games having a non-empty set of equilibria but an empty set of proper equilibria and no stable set of equilibria and (iii) two extensive games having the same normal form representation and disjoint sets of sequential equilibria.
Qualità della didattica universitaria e sviluppo della capacità decisionale. Il modello ADVP per garantire i passaggi da L-19 a LM-85bis.
2020
Il presente contributo intende offrire una riflessione sulle competenze attese individuate attraverso la formulazione dei descrittori di Dublino dei CdS in Scienze dell’Educazione (L-19) e Scienze della Formazione Primaria (LM-85bis) istituiti presso l’Ateneo di Palermo e nello stesso tempo proporre un modello per lo sviluppo della maturità professional e necessaria a garantire scelte consapevoli, mature e responsabili. L’analisi condotta ci ha permesso, in una seconda fase di individuare gli obiettivi formativi finali scelti seguendo il modello proposto dalle Linee Guida dell ’Anvur, e di scegliere il modello dell’Activaction du Developpement Vocationnel et Personnel quale strumento per lo…
Tiesību normu laika aspekti tiesiskā un demokrātiskā valstī
2015
Promocijas darbā „Tiesību normu laika aspekti tiesiskā un demokrātiskā valstī” ir izpētīts, kuros gadījumos likumdevējs ir tiesīgs pieņemt tiesību normas ar iedarbību uz pagātnē izveidotām tiesiskajām attiecībām. Izveidotu tiesisko attiecību ietekmēšana ir izvērtējama, balstoties uz tiesiskās paļāvības principu. Lai noskaidrotu, vai tiesiskās paļāvības princips ir aizskarts, ir jākonstatē, vai tiesību normām ir atpakaļejošs spēks laikā. Atšķirībā no sodu tiesībām, kur atpakaļejošs spēka identificēšana per se padara tiesību normas par prettiesiskām, citās tiesību nozarēs pēc atpakaļejoša spēka konstatēšanas vēl būtu jāizvērtē, vai sabiedrības interešu aizsardzība nav iespējama ar mazāku ieja…