Search results for " Inference"
showing 10 items of 337 documents
Proprioception but not cardiac interoception is related to the rubber hand illusion
2020
The rubber hand illusion (RHI) is a widely used tool in the study of multisensory integration. It develops as the interaction of temporally consistent visual and tactile input, which can overwrite proprioceptive information. Theoretically, the accuracy of proprioception may influence the proneness to the RHI but this has received little research attention to date. Concerning the role of cardioceptive information, the available empirical evidence is equivocal. The current study aimed to test the impact of proprioceptive and cardioceptive input on the RHI. 60 undergraduate students (32 females) completed sensory tasks assessing proprioceptive accuracy with respect to the angle of the elbow jo…
Bayesian correlated models for assessing the prevalence of viruses in organic and non-organic agroecosystems
2017
Cultivation of horticultural species under organic management has increased in importance in recent years. However, the sustainability of this new production method needs to be supported by scientific research, especially in the field of virology. We studied the prevalence of three important virus diseases in agroecosystems with regard to its management system: organic versus non-organic, with and without greenhouse. Prevalence was assessed by means of a Bayesian correlated binary model which connects the risk of infection of each virus within the same plot and was defined in terms of a logit generalized linear mixed model (GLMM). Model robustness was checked through a sensitivity analysis …
INDUCTIVE INFERENCE OF LIMITING PROGRAMS WITH BOUNDED NUMBER OF MIND CHANGES
1996
We consider inductive inference of total recursive functions in the case, when produced hypotheses are allowed some finite number of times to change “their mind” about each value of identifiable function. Such type of identification, which we call inductive inference of limiting programs with bounded number of mind changes, by its power lies somewhere between the traditional criteria of inductive inference and recently introduced inference of limiting programs. We consider such model of inductive inference for EX and BC types of identification, and we study • tradeoffs between the number of allowed mind changes and the number of anomalies, and • relations between classes of functions ident…
Modelling the occurrence of rainy days under a typical Mediterranean climate
2014
The statistical inference of the alternation of wet and dry periods in daily rainfall records can be achieved through the modelling of inter-arrival time-series, IT, defined as the succession of times elapsed from a rainy day and the one immediately preceding it. In this paper, under the hypothesis that ITs are independent and identically distributed random variables, a modelling framework based on a generalisation of the commonly adopted Bernoulli process is introduced. Within this framework, the capability of three discrete distributions, belonging to the Hurwitz–Lerch-Zeta family, to reproduce the main statistical features of IT time-series was tested. These distributions namely Lerch-se…
Modelling the General Public's Inflation Expectations Using the Michigan Survey Data
2009
In this article we discuss a few models developed to explain the general public's inflation expectations formation and provide some relevant estimation results. Furthermore, we suggest a simple Bayesian learning model which could explain the expectations formation process on the individual level. When the model is aggregated to the population level it could explain not only the mean values, but also the variance of the public's inflation expectations. The estimation results of the mean and variance equations seem to be consistent with the results of the questionnaire studies in which the respondents were asked to report their thoughts and opinions about inflation.
Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Suicide-Related Emergency Calls
2017
Considerable effort has been devoted to incorporate temporal trends in disease mapping. In this line, this work describes the importance of including the effect of the seasonality in a particular setting related with suicides. In particular, the number of suicide-related emergency calls is modeled by means of an autoregressive approach to spatio-temporal disease mapping that allows for incorporating the possible interaction between both temporal and spatial effects. Results show the importance of including seasonality effect, as there are differences between the number of suicide-related emergency calls between the four seasons of each year.
Logical Sentential Calculi Inspired by the Chrysippean Sentential Calculus
2021
The aim of the present paper is to consider an approach, different from that presented by J. Łukasiewicz, concerning the interpretation of the so-called stoic undemonstrables, which were given by Chrysippus. Stoic undemonstrables have been interpreted in two different ways: using the notion of “negation of a sentence” (Łukasiewicz) and using the notion of “a sentence inconsistent with a given one” (Mates). According to the Stoics, two sentences are inconsistent if one of them is negation of the other. The Mates’ interpretation generates five different inference rules. Based on one of these rules we can consider (with other undemonstrables) four different stoic propositional calculi. Taking …
Objective Bayesian point and region estimation in location-scale models.
2007
Point and region estimation may both be described as specific decision problems. In point estimation, the action space is the set of possible values of the quantity on interest; in region estimation, the action space is the set of its possible credible regions. Foundations dictate that the solution to these decision problems must depend on both the utility function and the prior distribution. Estimators intended for general use should surely be invariant under one-to-one transformations, and this requires the use of an invariant loss function; moreover, an objective solution requires the use of a prior which does not introduce subjective elements. The combined use of an invariant informatio…
Improvement of Inventory Control under Parametric Uncertainty and Constraints
2011
The aim of the present paper is to show how the statistical inference equivalence principle (SIEP), the idea of which belongs to the authors, may be employed in the particular case of finding the effective statistical decisions for the multi-product inventory problems with constraints. To our knowledge, no analytical or efficient numerical method for finding the optimal policies under parametric uncertainty for the multi-product inventory problems with constraints has been reported in the literature. Using the (equivalent) predictive distributions, this paper represents an extension of analytical results obtained for unconstrained optimization under parametric uncertainty to the case of con…
Horizontal inequity comparisons
1998
In this paper, we expound the idea that horizontal inequity (HI) in different tax systems be compared by transplanting the HI from one tax system into the other, as a mapping between its pre- and post-tax living standard distributions, and then applying known results to compare the extent of association present in the two joint distributions. We make this idea operational by means of axioms which, we show, lead to an implementable procedure based on the `copula'. Statistical inference procedures are discussed, and illustrative empirical exercises are undertaken for the UK, Canadian and Israeli tax and benefit systems.