Search results for " scenarios"
showing 10 items of 42 documents
MUTAMENTI E PERMANENZE DELLA PALERMO ANTICA MUTATIONS AND PERMANENCES IN ANCIENT PALERMO
2017
La Palermo Antica si identifica con il Centro Storico, la cui complessità è il frutto dell’incontro di culture succedutesi nei secoli e che ha dato alla città la sua attuale facies. Questi luoghi sono oggi un microcosmo complesso dove i modelli culturali dei nuovi abitanti si relazionano al preesistente generando nuove espressioni dell’intervento antropico. L’analisi è volta ai nuovi scenari urbani, alle impronte, ai segni e ai mutamenti generati da un processo insediativo che vede coinvolti i nuovi residenti e le loro risorse, in un ambito che ha tutte le potenzialità per restituire Palermo al suo ruolo di capitale nell’ottica dell’integrazione, dell’accoglienza, della riqualificazione e v…
The climate change effect on the african monsoon region : evolution of the precipitation and atmospheric fields in the CMIP3 and CMIP5 simulations un…
2013
The fourth IPCC report in 2007 established the synthesis of previously published work onthe effects of climate change on global and regional scales. It shows in particular that no consensuscan be found with regard to the future of rainfall — and atmospheric dynamics- associatedwith region — African monsoon. This dissertation revisits this issue in the light of new dataand using an approach avoiding over-representation of the number of simulations available forone type of model and taking into account the diversity of models and their evolution in time :twenty general circulation models (GCMs) participating in the exercises CMIP3 (twelve GCMs)and CMIP5 (eight GCMs) under the A1B emissions sc…
LIFE CYCLE ASSESSMENT OF ITALIAN CITRUS BASED PRODUCTS. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS AND IMPROVMENT SCENARIOS
2010
Though many studies concern the agro-food sector in the EU and Italy, and its environmental impacts, literature is quite lacking in works regarding LCA application on citrus products. This paper represents one of the first studies on the environmental impacts of citrus products in order to suggest feasible strategies and actions to improve their environmental performance. In particular, it is part of a research aimed to estimate environmental burdens associated with the production of the following citrus-based products: essential oil, natural juice and concentrated juice from oranges and lemons. The life cycle assessment of these products, published in a previous paper, had highlighted sign…
Applying a framework for landscape planning under climate change for the conservation of biodiversity in the Finnish boreal forest
2015
Conservation strategies are often established without consideration of the impact of climate change. However, this impact is expected to threaten species and ecosystem persistence and to have dramatic effects towards the end of the 21st century. Landscape suitability for species under climate change is determined by several interacting factors including dispersal and human land use. Designing effective conservation strategies at regional scales to improve landscape suitability requires measuring the vulnerabilities of specific regions to climate change and determining their conservation capacities. Although methods for defining vulnerability categories are available, methods for doing this …
Limits and Criticalities of Predictions and Forecasting in Complex Social and Economic Scenarios: A Cybernetics Key
2014
Predictions play a key role in assuring the status of “rationality” in decisions. Nevertheless, in the field of social sciences and economics, predictions fail to correctly depict the oncoming scenarios. Why is it so difficult to achieve quantitative prediction of social and economic systems? Can science provide reliable predictions of social and economic paths that can be used to implement effective interventions? As in the notorious “El Farol bar problem” depicted by Brian Arthur (Am Econ Rev 84:406–411, 1994), the validity of predictive models is more a social issue than a matter of good mathematics. Predictability in social systems is due to limited knowledge of society and human behavi…
Towards the development of a Decision Support System (DSS) for building renovation: Domain Mapping Matrix (DMM) for sustainability renovation criteri…
2018
Future building renovation concerns more holistic perspectives related to the sustainability seen in a wider range of objectives/criteria facilitated by the renovation scenarios. In this regard, based on the studies upon existing sustainability evaluation and assessment tools carried out in previous research works, a characteristic diagram including a value map for evaluating a holistic sustainable retrofitting was developed. Further, in present paper, by reviewing the relevant literature, looking into recent European renovation research projects, the Danish SIGMA database, and investigation of a real case, a comprehensive list of renovation approaches (i.e. insulation technologies, windows…
Smart renewable generation for an islanded system. Technical and economic issues of future scenarios
2012
The subject addressed in this paper is the analytical study of the transition of an energy generation system for a real MV/LV distribution system from one that is “fuel-based” to a distributed and smart “renewables-based” system. The paper outlines both the technical and the economic issues related to such a transition from one type of system to the other. The study is carried out for a real islanded network located in the Island of Pantelleria (Mediterranean Sea). The results obtained are presented and discussed, putting into evidence the technical, environmental and economic benefits of using smart technologies and renewable energy sources.
Convivere con le emergenze. Design e nuovi scenari domestici
2023
The contribution leads a reflection around the physical-relational processes that have always characterized the domestic interior and that the recent state of health emergency Covid-19 (and the even more recent Russian-Ukrainian war conflict) has catalysed and accentuated, if not exasperated, offering new complex and sometimes contradictory visions. The contribution points to focus on new meanings and new projections, in terms of interactions and relationships, assumed by the consolidated physical-cultural criteria of proximity/remoteness, familiarity/foreignness, inside/outside. Within these profound transformations, an opportunity and a new role are looming for the disciplines of design. …
FUTURE IS BACK
2017
«Trent'anni fa, un piano per il futuro di New York sarebbe apparso futile» Michael R. Bloomberg, sindaco di New York, che ha introdotto nel 2007 la relazione sul futuro della città per il 2030, PlaNYC, oppose la città degli anni 1970, «interamente concentrata sulla risoluzione di crisi immediate», alla città di quegli anni, «più forte che mai»: consapevole di aver ritrovato il desiderio del futuro. La data dell'11 settembre non è percepita come un presagio della fine della supremazia americana, è un evento superato - Future is back ! Questo ritorno nel futuro è immaginato da tutte le metropoli preoccupate di inserirsi nel mercato dell'attrattività3. Trent'anni dopo la fine del progresso, l'…
Overionization in X-ray spectra: a new paradigm for Mixed-Morphology SNRs
2011
Mixed-morphology SNRs are characterized by a shell-like radio emission, a centrally peaked X-ray morphology, and by interaction with molecular clouds. Many models have been proposed to explain these peculiar remnants, but their physical origin is still unclear. The recent discovery of over-ionized (i. e. recombining) ejecta in 3 mixed-morphology SNRs has dramatically challenged all the previous models and opened up new, unexpected scenarios. I review the main properties of these remnants and their peculiar X-ray spectral properties. I also discuss the hydrodynamic model developed to explain the presence of over-ionized ejecta in W49B and present a list of open issues that still need to be c…