Search results for "60J27"

showing 5 items of 5 documents

On First-Passage-Time Densities for Certain Symmetric Markov Chains

2004

The spatial symmetry property of truncated birth-death processes studied in Di Crescenzo [6] is extended to a wider family of continuous-time Markov chains. We show that it yields simple expressions for first-passage-time densities and avoiding transition probabilities, and apply it to a bilateral birth-death process with jumps. It is finally proved that this symmetry property is preserved within the family of strongly similar Markov chains.

60J27; 60J3560J27Probability (math.PR)60J35FOS: MathematicsQuantitative Biology::Populations and EvolutionMathematics - Probability
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Can the Adaptive Metropolis Algorithm Collapse Without the Covariance Lower Bound?

2011

The Adaptive Metropolis (AM) algorithm is based on the symmetric random-walk Metropolis algorithm. The proposal distribution has the following time-dependent covariance matrix at step $n+1$ \[ S_n = Cov(X_1,...,X_n) + \epsilon I, \] that is, the sample covariance matrix of the history of the chain plus a (small) constant $\epsilon>0$ multiple of the identity matrix $I$. The lower bound on the eigenvalues of $S_n$ induced by the factor $\epsilon I$ is theoretically convenient, but practically cumbersome, as a good value for the parameter $\epsilon$ may not always be easy to choose. This article considers variants of the AM algorithm that do not explicitly bound the eigenvalues of $S_n$ away …

Statistics and ProbabilityFOS: Computer and information sciencesIdentity matrixMathematics - Statistics TheoryStatistics Theory (math.ST)Upper and lower boundsStatistics - Computation93E3593E15Combinatorics60J27Mathematics::ProbabilityLaw of large numbers65C40 60J27 93E15 93E35stochastic approximationFOS: MathematicsEigenvalues and eigenvectorsComputation (stat.CO)Metropolis algorithmMathematicsProbability (math.PR)Zero (complex analysis)CovariancestabilityUniform continuityBounded function65C40Statistics Probability and Uncertaintyadaptive Markov chain Monte CarloMathematics - Probability
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Random time-changes and asymptotic results for a class of continuous-time Markov chains on integers with alternating rates

2021

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state probabilities of the random variables of the process. Moreover we study independent random time-changes with the inverse of the stable subordinator, the stable subordinator and the tempered stable subodinator. We also present some asymptotic results in the fashion of large deviations. These results give some generalizations of those presented in Di Crescenzo A., Macci C., Martinucci B. (2014).

Statistics and ProbabilityPure mathematicsSubordinatormoderate deviationsInversefractional processfractional process; large deviations; moderate deviations; tempered stable subordinatorlarge deviationsChain (algebraic topology)FOS: MathematicsProbability-generating function60F10 60J27 60G22 60G52MathematicsMarkov chainlcsh:T57-57.97lcsh:MathematicsProbability (math.PR)State (functional analysis)tempered stable subordinatorlcsh:QA1-939Modeling and SimulationSettore MAT/06lcsh:Applied mathematics. Quantitative methodsLarge deviations theoryStatistics Probability and UncertaintyRandom variableMathematics - Probability
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On the stability and ergodicity of adaptive scaling Metropolis algorithms

2011

The stability and ergodicity properties of two adaptive random walk Metropolis algorithms are considered. The both algorithms adjust the scaling of the proposal distribution continuously based on the observed acceptance probability. Unlike the previously proposed forms of the algorithms, the adapted scaling parameter is not constrained within a predefined compact interval. The first algorithm is based on scale adaptation only, while the second one incorporates also covariance adaptation. A strong law of large numbers is shown to hold assuming that the target density is smooth enough and has either compact support or super-exponentially decaying tails.

Statistics and ProbabilityStochastic approximationMathematics - Statistics TheoryStatistics Theory (math.ST)Law of large numbersMultiple-try Metropolis01 natural sciencesStability (probability)010104 statistics & probabilityModelling and Simulation65C40 60J27 93E15 93E35Adaptive Markov chain Monte CarloFOS: Mathematics0101 mathematicsScalingMetropolis algorithmMathematicsta112Applied Mathematics010102 general mathematicsRejection samplingErgodicityProbability (math.PR)ta111CovarianceRandom walkMetropolis–Hastings algorithmModeling and SimulationAlgorithmStabilityMathematics - ProbabilityStochastic Processes and their Applications
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Statistics of transitions for Markov chains with periodic forcing

2013

The influence of a time-periodic forcing on stochastic processes can essentially be emphasized in the large time behaviour of their paths. The statistics of transition in a simple Markov chain model permits to quantify this influence. In particular the first Floquet multiplier of the associated generating function can be explicitly computed and related to the equilibrium probability measure of an associated process in higher dimension. An application to the stochastic resonance is presented.

[MATH.MATH-PR] Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]Markov chain mixing timeMarkov kernelMarkov chainProbability (math.PR)Markov chainlarge time asymptoticStochastic matrixcentral limit theoremMarkov process[MATH.MATH-PR]Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]symbols.namesakeMarkov renewal processModeling and SimulationFloquet multipliersStatisticsFOS: MathematicssymbolsMarkov propertyExamples of Markov chainsstochastic resonance60J27 60F05 34C25[ MATH.MATH-PR ] Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]Mathematics - ProbabilityMathematics
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