Search results for "Bayesian model"
showing 4 items of 44 documents
Model uncertainty and variable selection: an application to the modelization of FDI determinants in Europe
2019
Las últimas décadas han visto un interés cada vez mayor en la IED, y un debate creciente sobre su modelización en términos de las variables consideradas como sus determinantes, la especificación del modelo y los métodos de estimación del modelo de gravedad de la IED. Esto se debe a la incertidumbre que rodea tanto las teorías como los enfoques empíricos de la IED. Esta Tesis doctoral tiene como objetivo contribuir a la literatura mediante la investigación de las fuerzas impulsoras de las actividades de las EMNs hacia y desde los países europeos, tanto a nivel regional como nacional, abordando los problemas de selección de variables e incertidumbre del modelo que se enfrentan al modelizar la…
Neighborhood Characteristics, Alcohol Outlet Density, and Alcohol-Related Calls-for-Service: A Spatiotemporal Analysis in a Wet Drinking Country
2017
Alcohol outlets have been associated with different social problems, such as crime, violence, intimate partner violence, and child maltreatment. The spatial analysis of neighborhood availability of alcohol outlets is key for better understanding of these influences. Most studies on the spatial distribution of alcohol outlets in the community have been conducted in U.S. cities, but few studies have assessed this spatial distribution in other countries where the drinking culture may differ. The aim of this study was to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution of alcohol outlets in the city of Valencia, Spain, and its relationship with neighborhood-level characteristics, as well as to examine t…
A Multivariate Age-Structured Stochastic Model with Immunization Strategies to Describe Bronchiolitis Dynamics
2021
Bronchiolitis has a high morbidity in children under 2 years old. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most common pathogen causing the disease. At present, there is only a costly humanized monoclonal RSV-specific antibody to prevent RSV. However, different immunization strategies are being developed. Hence, evaluation and comparison of their impact is important for policymakers. The analysis of the disease with a Bayesian stochastic compartmental model provided an improved and more natural description of its dynamics. However, the consideration of different age groups is still needed, since disease transmission greatly varies with age. In this work, we propose a multivariate age-struct…
Vai strukturālās reformas spēs veicināt Latvijas ekonomisko izaugsmi: BMA un GMM novērtējumu liecības
2017
Pētījuma ietvaros tiek pielietota Beijesa modeļu svēršana (BMA) un vispārīgā momentu metode (GMM) Globālās Konkurētspējas apakšindeksu (GCI) datiem, lai identificētu strukturālo reformu jomas, kas var nozīmīgi paātrināt Latvijas ekonomisko izaugsmi. Novērtējumu rezultāti, kuros ņemta vērā gan modeļu nenoteiktība, gan endogenitāte liecina, ka ekonomisko izaugsmi var veicināt ar augstākām investīcijām, zemāku administratīvo slogu, stabilāku makroekonomisko vidi, paaugstinātu ārvalsts tiešo investīciju kvalitāti, kā arī ar attīstītākiem uzņēmējdarbības klasteriem. Ja šajās jomās Latvijas sniegums pēdējo 10 gadu laikā būtu trīs labāko Eiropas Savienības dalībvalstu līmenī, tad ienākumu līmenis …