Search results for "CHANGEMENT"
showing 10 items of 135 documents
L'activité dépressionnaire et anticyclonique hivernale des moyennes latitudes du Pacifique Nord
2007
Using a new automated scheme, synoptic mid-latitudes cyclone and anticyclone trajectories have been constructed over the North Pacific from daily sea level pressure (SLP) data, covering the period 1950-2001. Over the North-Eastern Pacific, the strength of anticyclones diminished and their frequency became more variable, while cyclones intensified and presented further southerly trajectories since the mid-1970s. Thus, cyclonic and anticyclonic activities are significantly anti-correlated. These transient activity changes averaged out into anomalously low winter mean SLP in the Aleutian Low region, consistent with the positive phase of the North Pacific Oscillation, inducing positive sea surf…
A quoi pourrait ressembler la filière vigne et vin française en 2050 ? Une mobilisation concertée pour répondre à cet enjeu
2019
Tropical Temperate Toughs over southern Africa : mechanisms and evolution in response to climate change (2010-2099)
2014
In the Southern Hemisphere, Southern Africa and the south-west Indian Ocean are one of the three preferred regions where interactions between the tropics and midlatitudes develop. This is the South Indian Convergence Zone (SICZ), where northwest-southeast oriented cloud bands form at the synoptic scale (between 3 and 5 days). These bands are mainly found during the austral summer and are commonly referred to as tropical temperate troughs (TTTs). This research aims at improving our knowledge related to TTTs, with a study on the dynamics associated with these systems, and an analysis of their possible evolution during the 21st century.The first part of this thesis aims at identifying favorabl…
Sécheresse et inconfort thermique : Le changement climatique se fait ressentir
2023
Biodiversité, rendements agricoles, élevage, pêche… Rien n’est épargné par le changement climatique. Zoom sur deux effets en passe de devenir tristement familiers.
Erosion en milieu sableux cultivé au Niger : dynamique actuelle et passée en liaison avec la pression anthropique et les changements climatiques
2011
Sahelian ecosystems, especially those installed on sandy soils react very quickly and intensely to small climatic changes. In this semi-arid area, wind erosion which occurs mainly on cultivated millet fields and is threatening the sustainable use of land resources. Furthermore, the rapid population growth and the severe droughts of the twentieth century have had important impacts on ecosystems. To better manage this fragile environment, it is important first to understand how it works. This thesis was included in the framework of the AMMA project (African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses) and was in the heart of a CORUS 2 (Coopération pour la Recherche Universitaire et Scientifique) progr…
Climate change impacts on phytosanitary risk evolution in north-eastern France vineyards : observations and modeling : The case of powdery mildew
2021
From now on, agriculture must adapt and anticipate climate change, whose impact has already been observed on the biology of crops and their production. Beyond plants, this climate change also impacts pathogen development and therefore host/pathogen interactions. Thus, building adaptation strategies requires considering not only the crops but also the organisms with which they interact.The objective of this thesis is to characterize the impact of climate change on the phytosanitary risk related to grapevine powdery mildew (Erysiphe necator) in the wine regions of Burgundy and Champagne. More particularly, it questions two central aspects related to the epidemic risk: the grapevine sensitive …
Évolution des températures observées en Bourgogne (1961-2011)
2014
International audience; Depuis un demi-siècle environ, l’augmentation des concentrations atmosphériques en gaz à effet de serre a entraîné une élévation de température qui peut être analysée selon des échelles emboîtées, allant de la planète aux territoires. Dans cette étude, les mesures effectuées sur le réseau de stations Météo-France sont mobilisées pour analyser la température en Bourgogne sur la période 1961-2011. Le réchauffement observé a des caractéristiques très proches des moyennes françaises. Il est plus fort que sur la moyenne planétaire. Il est marqué par une rupture nette délimitant deux périodes bien différentes : 1961-1987 et 1988-2011. Une interpolation par régression krige…
Les caractères climatiques et l'impact du changement climatique sur le vignoble de la basse vallée du Rhône
2012
Les hêtraies du Châtillonnais (Côte-d'Or) face au changement climatique.
2013
15 pages; International audience; L'étude traite des hêtraies du Châtillonnais (Côte-d'Or, Bourgogne) face au changement climatique observé. Les données regroupent les séries bourguignonnes de température et de précipitation des stations de Météo France (1989-2009), la carte des hêtraies de l'Institut forestier national (IFN), un modèle numérique de terrain (MNT, SRTM) et quatre indices de vulnérabilité du hêtre identifiés dans la littérature. La méthode repose sur une interpolation fine (mailles de 100 m) de ces indices par régression-krigeage. Les résultats permettent de cartographier les risques actuels.
Qui a peur du changement climatique?
2019
ABSTRACT.The French "Grand Débat National" (Great National Debate) was animportant political event in 2019. Using the online proposals collected during thisconsultation, we propose a representation of the feeling of the impact of climate changeamong the contributors to the "Grand Débat National" in Metropolitan France. Weanalyze the causes of this feeling, through a supervised analysis of the contributions(via the Great Annotation) and we show the complementary interest of an unsuper-vised analysis (by extracting keywords). We show the richness of the data set that constitutes the "Grand Débat National", and the analytical stakes around these data.We also point out some important limitation…