Search results for "Contango"

showing 2 items of 2 documents

Pricing of Forwards and Options in a Multivariate Non-Gaussian Stochastic Volatility Model for Energy Markets

2013

In Benth and Vos (2013) we introduced a multivariate spot price model with stochastic volatility for energy markets which captures characteristic features, such as price spikes, mean reversion, stochastic volatility, and inverse leverage effect as well as dependencies between commodities. In this paper we derive the forward price dynamics based on our multivariate spot price model, providing a very flexible structure for the forward curves, including contango, backwardation, and hump shape. Moreover, a Fourier transform-based method to price options on the forward is described.

TheoryofComputation_MISCELLANEOUSspread optionStatistics and Probability15A04Computer Science::Computer Science and Game TheoryFinancial economicsNormal backwardationImplied volatility01 natural sciences010104 statistics & probabilityEnergy marketVolatility swap0502 economics and businessEconometricsForward volatilitystochastic volatility0101 mathematicsMathematics050208 financeStochastic volatilityApplied Mathematics05 social sciencesContangosubordinatorforward pricing91G20Forward priceVolatility smile60H3060G1060G51Advances in Applied Probability
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The inconvenience yield of carbon futures

2021

Abstract Since 2009, the European Carbon Futures Market has been in a permanent contango situation that is characterised by systematic negative convenience yields that allow investors to exploit profitable arbitrage opportunities. The objective of this paper is to analyse the possible drivers of these negative convenience yields. Our empirical results indicate that although some carbon trading variables are behind this contango situation, the carbon inconvenience yield is better explained if other financial markets and variables are considered, suggesting a financialization of the European Carbon Futures Market.

Convenience yieldcarbon futuresEconomics and EconometricsExploitYield (finance)Financial marketiceContangoUNESCO::CIENCIAS ECONÓMICASMonetary economicsconvenience yield:CIENCIAS ECONÓMICAS [UNESCO]contangoGeneral EnergyEconomicsFinancializationArbitrageFutures contract
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