Search results for "EARTHQUAKE"
showing 10 items of 174 documents
Validation of an ontology of risk and disaster through a case study of the 1923 Great Kanto Earthquake
2009
International audience; This paper seeks to validate a factual ontologyderived from an ontology of the domain of risk and catastrophe (Provitolo, Müller, Dubos-Paillard, 2009). The factual ontology is that part describing the structure and dynamics of the system, that is, the representation of an event and of on what it has a bearing. The objective is to show that the ontology is able to account for and allow comparison between complex stories (because of the diversity of event types and of their multi-scale description). The event used as the basis for validation of the ontology is the Great Kanto Earthquake of 1923. The account is that of P. Hadfield (1991) that provides a detailed descri…
Predicting Earthquake-Induced Landslides by Using a Stochastic Modeling Approach: A Case Study of the 2001 El Salvador Coseismic Landslides
2023
In January and February 2001, El Salvador was hit by two strong earthquakes that triggered thousands of landslides, causing 1259 fatalities and extensive damage. The analysis of aerial and SPOT-4 satellite images allowed us to map 6491 coseismic landslides, mainly debris slides and flows that occurred in volcanic epiclastites and pyroclastites. Four different multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) models were produced using different predictors and landslide inventories which contain slope failures triggered by an extreme rainfall event in 2009 and those induced by the earthquakes of 2001. In a predictive analysis, three validation scenarios were employed: the first and the second …
Volcanic risk and the role of the media. A case study in the Etna area
2019
On December 24, 2018, the Etna volcano has recorded a significant eruption. Linked to this phenomenon, after a seismic swarm of 72 shocks, a 4.8-magnitude earthquake struck a large area North of Catania city, on the Eastern coast of Sicily. Six villages reported 28 injured people and damages to the building. According to seismologists the earthquake had an unusual level of magnitude. Yet, despite the real danger of this event, many people who live around the volcano, in one of the most densely populated areas of Sicily, perceived these facts in an ambivalent way. Indeed, their lives continued as before even in awareness of the natural hazard, while several media presented the situation as r…
Community detection of seismic point processes
2022
In this paper, we combine robin and Local Indicators of Spatio-Temporal Association (LISTA) functions. robin is an R package to assess the robustness of the community structure of a network found by one or more methods to give indications about their reliability. We use it to propose a classification algorithm of events in a spatio-temporal point pattern, by means of the local second-order characteristics and the community detection procedure in network analysis. We demonstrate the proposed procedure on a real data analysis on seismic data.
Mixed estimation technique in semi-parametric space-time point processes for earthquake description
2013
An estimation approach for the semi-parametric intensity function of a particular space-time point process is introduced. In particular we want to account for the estimation of parametric and nonparametric components simultaneously, applying a forward predictive likelihood to semi-parametric models. For each event, the probability of being a background event or one belonging to a seismic sequence is therefore estimated.
The reconstruction of Gibellina after the 1968 Belice earthquake
2016
On 15 January 1968 a catastrophic earthquake struck the Belice Valley. In some cases in the reconstruction plans it was decided to abandon the old settlements and to build new ones in different places. Among these centers Gibellina was the most damaged and the town was built away from the old settlement in an area within Salemi, where the highway and the railroad converged, in an attempt to take away the new center from the isolation in which it had lived for centuries. For the reconstruction of the town a development plan was drawn up by the Institute for Social Housing Development (ISES). This Institute was assigned the task to elaborate the general plan, designed in an extensive urban mo…
Spatial analysis of the Italian seismic network and seismicity
2018
Seismic networks are powerful tools for understanding active tectonic processes in a monitored region. Their numerous applications, from monitoring seismicity to characterizing seismogenic volumes and generated seismicity, make seismic networks essential tools for assessing seismic hazard in active regions. The ability to locate earthquakes hypocenters requires a seismic network with a sufficient number of optimally distributed, stations. It is important to assess existing network geometry, to identify seismogenic volumes that are not adequately monitored, and to quantify measures that will allow network improvement. In this work we have studied the spatial arrangement of the stations of th…
Integreating geological and seismological data in point process models for seismical analysis
2017
Nowadays in the seismic and geological fields, large and complex data sets are available. This information is a valuable source that can be used for improving the seismic hazard assessment of a given region. In particular, the integration of geologic variables into point process models to study seismic pattern is an open research field that has not been fully explored. In this work, we present several open-access datasets (the catalogue of the earthquakes, geological information such as faults, plate boundary and the presence of volcanoes) that are properly treated to describe the seismicity of events occurred in Greece between 2005 and 2014. We use these datasets to fit an advanced spatial…
Models and methods for space and space-time interactions in complex point processes with applications on earthquakes
Joint second-order parameter estimation for spatio-temporal log-Gaussian Cox processes
2018
We propose a new fitting method to estimate the set of second-order parameters for the class of homogeneous spatio-temporal log-Gaussian Cox point processes. With simulations, we show that the proposed minimum contrast procedure, based on the spatio-temporal pair correlation function, provides reliable estimates and we compare the results with the current available methods. Moreover, the proposed method can be used in the case of both separable and non-separable parametric specifications of the correlation function of the underlying Gaussian Random Field. We describe earthquake sequences comparing several Cox model specifications.