Search results for "ESTIMATION"
showing 10 items of 924 documents
Can Signaling Theory Help Agency and Resource Scarcity Theories Explain Franchisee Failure? Predicting SBA-Backed Loan Defaults
2010
This study examines the use of analytic techniques to develop a model that predicts the potential default of Small Business Administration (SBA) backed loans issued to American franchisees. Data collected by World Franchising (WF) in their 2008 survey and by SBA from 2000-2008, covering 271 diverse US franchise chains, on the reported failure rates and charge off percentages of SBA backed loans was used to explore associations between franchisor characteristics and franchisee loan performances. The predictive capability of the derived model was assessed using a data mining technique in which the original data set is split into two different subsets: one for estimation and one for validation…
Using Wavelet Techniques to Approximate the Subjacent Risk of Death
2018
In Actuarial science, graduation techniques have been used extensively: the large number of scientific papers and technical documentation published evidences this fact (see Ayuso M et al. (Estadistica Actuarial Vida. UBe, Barcelona (2007)), Baeza Sampere and Morillas Jurado (Rev. Anales del Instituto de Actuarios Espanoles 135–164 (2011)), London (Graduation: The Revision of Estimates. ACTEX Publications, Connecticut (1985)), Cairns, et al. (Scand Actuar J 2(3):79–113 (2008)) and the references therein). Graduation techniques are defined by Haberman and Renshaw J Inst Actuar 110:135–156 (1983) as a set of principles and techniques for use that are used on raw data so that a more appropriate…
Time estimation and aging: a comparison between young and elderly adults.
2001
Studies about effects of aging on the estimation of short temporal intervals are not conclusive. The aim of the present research was to evaluate age-related differences in the reproduction of a short interval (10 s) using a computerized method. The sample comprised thirteen young adults ( M = 26.15 years) and twelve elderly adults ( M = 79.1 years). Three parameters of time estimation were measured: estimated time, absolute error, and standard deviation. Results showed that time estimates performed by elderly participants were shorter than those of younger ones, although there were no significant differences between the two age groups in the percentage of absolute errors or standard deviat…
Quantile estimation via distribution fitting
2019
This paper focuses on nonparametric estimation of quantiles, based on estimators of the distribution function. We review some known and recommended quantile estimators and propose a new one, which has all the desired properties of quantile estimators. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators is proved. The estimators considered are compared in a small simulation study.
“Houses for One Euro” and the Territory. Some Estimation Issues for the “Geographic Debt” Reduction
2020
The phenomenon of the “houses for one Euro” is the epitome of the progressive and increasing abandonment of the inland territories in which many small towns are affected by continuous and unstoppable depopulation. This process, mostly affecting the southern and insular Italian regions, have been triggered by the quick industrial development started after the second post-war, led by the northern regions, that deeply and irreversibly modified the anthropography of the whole country until now. The impoverishment of a wide part of the Italian territory, is one of the many issues connected to the social-territorial justice that is the original topic by which appraisal and valuation, that is scie…
Estimation of National Colorectal-Cancer Incidence Using Claims Databases
2012
Background.The aim of the study was to assess the accuracy of the colorectal-cancer incidence estimated from administrative data.Methods.We selected potential incident colorectal-cancer cases in 2004-2005 French administrative data, using two alternative algorithms. The first was based only on diagnostic and procedure codes, whereas the second considered the past history of the patient. Results of both methods were assessed against two corresponding local cancer registries, acting as “gold standards.” We then constructed a multivariable regression model to estimate the corrected total number of incident colorectal-cancer cases from the whole national administrative database.Results.The firs…
The Application of Different Model of Multi-Layer Perceptrons in the Estimation of Wind Speed
2012
Wind speed forecasting is essential for effective planning of wind energy exploitation projects. The ability to predict short-term wind speed is a prerequisite for all the operators of the wind energy sector. Consequently it is essential to identify an efficient method for forecasts. In this paper, the wind speed in the province of Trapani (Sicily) is modeled by artificial neural network. Several model of neural network were generated and compared through error measures. Simulation results show that the estimated values of wind speed are in good agreement with the values measured by anemometers..
Finite-Time Control and Estimation for Complex and Practical Dynamical Systems
2014
1Merchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China 2Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43202, USA 3Department of Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Science, University of Agder, 4898 Grimstad, Norway 4School of Automation, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, China 5Deep Space Exploration Research Center, School of Astronautics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China
Phenology Estimation From Meteosat Second Generation Data
2013
Many studies have focused on land surface phenology, for example as a means to characterize both water and carbon cycles for climate model inputs. However, the Spinning Enhanced Visible Infra-Red Imager (SEVIRI) sensor onboard Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) geostationary satellite has never been used for this goal. Here, five years of MSG-SEVIRI data have been processed to retrieve Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) daily time series. Due to existing gaps as well as atmospheric and cloud contamination in the time series, an algorithm based on the iterative Interpolation for Data Reconstruction (IDR) has been developed and applied to SEVIRI NDVI time series, from which phenologi…
The atractiveness and competitiveness of tourist destinations: A study on Southern Italian regions
2009
The present paper aims to assess the relative attractiveness of competing tourist destinations on the basis of individual visitors' perceptions regarding a holiday destination. Using the feeling of tourist well-being achieved by individual tourists we evaluate indirectly the competitive ability of the tourist area to offer a compound tourist site attractiveness. The methodology employed here uses individual survey questionnaires on the tourists' evaluation of the quality of tourist facilities and attributes in a given area (the 'regional tourist profile') as the basis for constructing an aggregate expression for the relative attractiveness of that area. Using various multidimensional statis…