Search results for "Econometric"
showing 10 items of 3780 documents
Los márgenes del crecimiento de las exportaciones españolas antes y después de la Gran Recesión
2019
espanolDespues de la Gran Recesion de 2008-2009, la evolucion de las exportaciones espanolas ha sido positiva. Algunos analistas atribuyen este comportamiento al incremento de la base exportadora. Para validar esta hipotesis, realizamos una descomposicion del crecimiento de las exportaciones espanolas por margenes en el periodo 1997-2015. Los datos muestran que la contribucion de la base exportadora ha disminuido paulatinamente durante todo el intervalo analizado, incluso en el periodo posterior a la Gran Recesion. Ademas, la evolucion de la base exportadora se caracteriza por una caida paulatina tanto de la tasa de supervivencia de las empresas entrantes como del valor por transaccion de l…
Detección de fraude financiero mediante redes neuronales de clasificación en un caso real español
2020
espanolEste analisis supone una primera aproximacion a la implementacion de modelos de redes neuronales al trabajo pericial para la deteccion de operaciones de fraude. Los datos analizados provienen de un caso real de blanqueo de capitales en el que se esta colaborando con la Policia Nacional Espanola. En ellos se cuenta con informacion de operaciones contables individuales entre las que se cuenta con una proporcion de operaciones bien identificadas como fraudulentas con la que es posible entrenar un modelo de clasificacion. En este trabajo, tras describir brevemente la metodologia utilizada y la estrategia de ajuste se obtiene un modelo con una capacidad predictiva resenable, incluso con d…
Dealing with preference uncertainty in contingent willingness to pay for a nature protection program: A new approach
2013
In this paper, we propose an alternative preference uncertainty measurement approach where respondents have the option to indicate their willingness to pay (WTP) for a nature protection program either as exact values or intervals from a payment card, depending on whether they are uncertain about their valuation. On the basis of their responses, we then estimate their degree of uncertainty. New within this study is that the respondent's degree of uncertainty is "revealed", while it is "stated" in those using existing measurement methods. Three statistical models are used to explore the sources of respondent uncertainty. We also present a simple way of calculating the uncertainty adjusted mea…
Carbon sequestration in French agricultural soils: A spatial economic evaluation
2021
International audience; Soil organic carbon sequestration measures entail costs to farmers with different individual characteristics and located in different areas. A cost‐effective analysis taking into account these heterogeneities is crucial for developing effective public policy aimed at increasing carbon sequestration. We undertake such an analysis focusing on three soil organic carbon sequestration measures: no‐till, extension of temporary grasslands, and hedgerows. Through an optimization model applied to France, our results show that only extension of temporary grasslands can store carbon at low cost, though their potential for carbon sequestration is also low. For an ambitious carbo…
Young people' s willingness to pay for environmental protection
2021
Abstract The cost of the ongoing degradation of natural capital will inevitably be borne by the younger generations. And, as the wave of school strikes for action against climate change have proved, they do not want their voice to be ignored. Discrete Choice Experiments are increasingly used for the valuation of environmental goods, but they have never been conducted with minors. We designed and administered such an experiment to elicit the willingness of children and teenagers, aged 8–19, to pay for environmental projects. The results suggest that their marginal willingness to pay is higher for projects in their own country (Italy) and that the utility of environmental protection is greate…
The Physical Economy of France (1830–2015). The History of a Parasite?
2019
Abstract This article explores long-term trends and patterns of material use in France for a 185-year period. It is the first long-term study of material flows for France with national and yearly data for most of the period. Based on a material flow analysis (MFA) that is fully consistent with current standards of economy-wide MFAs and covers domestic extraction, imports, and exports of materials, we investigated the evolution of the French metabolism from industrialization to financialized capitalism. Over the whole period, there is a 9-fold increase in domestic material consumption, an expansion of material use per capita, and a spectacular addition of abiotic resources (fossil fuels and …
An Ecology and Economy Coupling Model. A global stationary state model for a sustainable economy in the Hamiltonian formalism
2020
Abstract The severity of the two deeply correlated crises, the environmental and the economic ones, needs to be faced also in theoretical terms; thus, the authors propose a model yielding a global “stationary state”, following the idea of a “steady-state economics” by Georgescu-Rogen and Herman Daly, by constructing only one dynamical system of ecological and economic coupled variables. This is possible resorting to the generalized Volterra model, that, translated in the Hamiltonian formalism and its Hamilton equations, makes possible to “conjugate” every pair of variables, one economic, the other one ecological, in describing the behavior in time of a unique dynamical system. Applying the …
Life cycle assessment of low temperature asphalt mixtures for road pavement surfaces: A comparative analysis
2018
The increasing fuel consumption demand, the accelerated pressure imposed by the depletion of 5 scarce raw materials and the urgent environmental protection requirements are forcing the change of 6 pavement industry and academia community’s research endeavors towards the development of low 7 emissions road paving technologies able to significantly reduce mixing and compaction temperature as 8 well as the consumption of virgin raw materials. One set of relatively recent technologies in the field of 9 pavement materials that aims at addressing those concerns are the warm mix asphalt (WMA). In fact, 10 they have the potential to allow the reduction of energy consumption and airborne emissions d…
The macroeconomic effects of electricity-sector privatization
2021
Abstract We examine the macroeconomic effects of privatizing the ownership structure of the electricity market, using a novel indicator of privatization which covers 90 advanced, emerging market, and developing economies, since 1974. Privatization reforms, on average, improve outcomes in the provision of electricity and have positive macroeconomic effects: output and employment increase in the years following electricity-sector privatization reforms. Reforms are also associated also with an increase in income inequality, but the effects are small, on average. These impacts vary according to the business cycle, quality of institutions, and a country's development status, with macroeconomic a…
Environmental Benefit of Improving Wastewater Quality: A Shadow Prices Approach for Sensitive Areas
2018
The use of effluents from wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) as a non-conventional source of water for wetlands in arid and semi-arid regions is becoming the most-often sought solution for maintaining water flow in sensitive wetlands there. However, the managing effluent quality should be a requirement because excess nutrients (mainly nitrogen and phosphorus) can generate eutrophication problems in wetlands. In the Mediterranean area in general, wetlands are strongly vulnerable to eutrophication, which is why they are classified as sensitive areas. Our study uses a data set from 24 WWTPs, effluents of which are discharged to wetlands in the coast of Community of Valencia. We use the shado…