Search results for "Estimation"
showing 10 items of 924 documents
Testing Goodness-of-Fit with the Kernel Density Estimator: GoFKernel
2015
To assess the goodness-of-fit of a sample to a continuous random distribution, the most popular approach has been based on measuring, using either L∞ - or L2 -norms, the distance between the null hypothesis cumulative distribution function and the empirical cumulative distribution function. Indeed, as far as I know, almost all the tests currently available in R related to this issue (ks.test in package stats, ad.test in package ADGofTest, and ad.test, ad2.test, ks.test, v.test and w2.test in package truncgof) use one of these two distances on cumulative distribution functions. This paper (i) proposes dgeometric.test, a new implementation of the test that measures the discrepancy between a s…
Olley–Pakes productivity decomposition: computation and inference
2016
Summary We show how a moment-based estimation procedure can be used to compute point estimates and standard errors for the two components of the widely used Olley–Pakes decomposition of aggregate (weighted average) productivity. When applied to business level microdata, the procedure allows for autocovariance and heteroscedasticity robust inference and hypothesis testing about, for example, the coevolution of the productivity components in different groups of firms. We provide an application to Finnish firm level data and find that formal statistical inference casts doubt on the conclusions that one might draw on the basis of a visual inspection of the components of the decomposition.
Weighted samples, kernel density estimators and convergence
2003
This note extends the standard kernel density estimator to the case of weighted samples in several ways. In the first place I consider the obvious extension by substituting the simple sum in the definition of the estimator by a weighted sum, but I also consider other alternatives of introducing weights, based on adaptive kernel density estimators, and consider the weights as indicators of the informational content of the observations and in this sense as signals of the local density of the data. All these ideas are shown using the Penn World Table in the context of the macroeconomic convergence issue.
Estimates of Regression Coefficients Based on the Sign Covariance Matrix
2002
SummaryA new estimator of the regression parameters is introduced in a multivariate multiple-regression model in which both the vector of explanatory variables and the vector of response variables are assumed to be random. The affine equivariant estimate matrix is constructed using the sign covariance matrix (SCM) where the sign concept is based on Oja's criterion function. The influence function and asymptotic theory are developed to consider robustness and limiting efficiencies of the SCM regression estimate. The estimate is shown to be consistent with a limiting multinormal distribution. The influence function, as a function of the length of the contamination vector, is shown to be linea…
Maximum likelihood estimation for the exponential power function parameters
1995
This paper addresses the problem of obtaining maximum likelihood estimates for the three parameters of the exponential power function; the information matrix is derived and the covariance matrix is here presented; the regularity conditions which ensure asymptotic normality and efficiency are examined. A numerical investigation is performed for exploring the bias and variance of the maximum likelihood estimates and their dependence on sample size and shape parameter.
Modeling and predicting the Spanish Bachillerato academic results over the next few years using a random network model
2016
[EN] Academic performance is a concern of paramount importance in Spain, where around of 30% of the students in the last two courses in high school, before to access to the labor market or to the university, do not achieve the minimum knowledge required according to the Spanish educational law in force. In order to analyze this problem, we propose a random network model to study the dynamics of the academic performance in Spain. Our approach is based on the idea that both, good and bad study habits, are a mixture of personal decisions and influence of classmates. Moreover, in order to consider the uncertainty in the estimation of model parameters, we perform a lot of simulations taking as t…
Centile estimation for a proportion response variable
2015
This paper introduces two general models for computing centiles when the response variable Y can take values between 0 and 1, inclusive of 0 or 1. The models developed are more flexible alternatives to the beta inflated distribution. The first proposed model employs a flexible four parameter logit skew Student t (logitSST) distribution to model the response variable Y on the unit interval (0, 1), excluding 0 and 1. This model is then extended to the inflated logitSST distribution for Y on the unit interval, including 1. The second model developed in this paper is a generalised Tobit model for Y on the unit interval, including 1. Applying these two models to (1-Y) rather than Y enables model…
Estimation of the Combined Effects of Ageing and Seasonality on Mortality Risk: An Application to Spain
2021
Abstract Despite the overwhelming evidence that shows the persistence of intra-annual variations on demographic events (deaths, birth dates and migration flows), life tables are computed and provided on an annual basis. This paper develops a new estimator for estimating sub-annual death rates that, considering the exact moment of occurrence (exact age and day) of events, concurrently accounts for ageing and calendar fluctuations. This paper also shows how modelling the intra-annual variations of death rates, through specific seasonal–ageing indexes, can be used as a tool for constructing new sub-annual tables from annual tables. This new methodology is exemplified using a real database of S…
Model-Assisted Estimation Through Random Forests in Finite Population Sampling
2021
In surveys, the interest lies in estimating finite population parameters such as population totals and means. In most surveys, some auxiliary information is available at the estimation stage. This information may be incorporated in the estimation procedures to increase their precision. In this article, we use random forests (RFs) to estimate the functional relationship between the survey variable and the auxiliary variables. In recent years, RFs have become attractive as National Statistical Offices have now access to a variety of data sources, potentially exhibiting a large number of observations on a large number of variables. We establish the theoretical properties of model-assisted proc…
Balanced Asymmetrical Nearly Orthogonal Designs for first and second order effect estimation
2006
Abstract A method for constructing asymmetrical (mixed-level) designs, satisfying the balancing and interaction estimability requirements with a number of runs as small as possible, is proposed in this paper. The method, based on a heuristic procedure, uses a new optimality criterion formulated here. The proposed method demonstrates efficiency in terms of searching time and optimality of the attained designs. A complete collection of such asymmetrical designs with two- and three-level factors is available. A technological application is also presented.