Search results for "ExPEC"
showing 10 items of 585 documents
Inflammation and Life-Span
2005
In their Review “Inflammatory exposure and historical changes in human life-spans” (17 Sept., p. [1736][1]), C. E. Finch and E. M. Crimmins reinforce earlier suggestions that many diseases and disabilities of older age have their roots in previous exposures to infectious agents and other sources
A Naïve Sticky Information Model of Households’ Inflation Expectations
2009
This paper provides a simple epidemiology model where households, when forming their inflation expectations, rationally adopt the past release of inflation with certain probability rather than the forward-looking newspaper forecast as suggested in Carroll [2003, Macroeconomic Expectations of Households and Professional Forecasters, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118, 269-298]. The posterior model probabilities based on the Michigan survey data strongly support the proposed model. We also extend the agent-based epidemiology model by deriving for it a simple adaptation, which is suitable for estimation. Our results show that this model is able to capture the heterogeneity in households’ expe…
Interests Or Expectations?: A Political Economy Model Of The Credibility Of Exchange Rate Agreements
2008
Gender discrimination and intergenerational transmission of preferences
2004
This paper provides an explanation for the existence of gender discrimination in the labour market focusing on the intergenerational transmission of preferences related to the attitude of women towards jobs and family. Changes in women's preferences over generations depend on the socialization efforts of their parents which in turn are influenced by both the firm's expected recruitment policy and the expected utility from household care. We obtain two types of steady state equilibria: the discriminatory equilibrium, in which women are segregated to low-paid jobs, and the non-discriminatory equilibrium, in which women are hired in highly-paid jobs. The conditions of convergence to each equil…
Why do university students choose tourism degrees? Interests analysis and employ-ment expectations for students from Universitat de València
2019
Las expectativas del alumnado que determinan la elección de una titulación en Turismo condicionan sus conductas durante y después de sus estudios. Para identificar estas expectativas se realizó una encuesta al alumnado de Turismo de primer curso. Un análisis factorial nos ha permitido identificar los factores de mayor peso en la elección: Internacionalización, Expectativas de empleo, Emprendimiento, Importancia del sector e Interés por la titulación. Finalmente, se ha completado el estudio analizando sus expectativas sobre las salidas profesionales vinculadas al ámbito turístico. Interests that drive students to choose a Tourism degree will condition their behaviour in their studies and lat…
Agent-based model for the rescheduling of Individual and collective daily activities under uncertainties
2020
Daily activity schedule are popular for people duringdaily life. While, when executing the schedule on the real road network, there are always some disruptions disturbing the planned schedule. To deal with this problem, daily activity rescheduling is necessary. This thesis regards the disruptions from the activity schedule execution environment as unexpected events (uncertainties). It establishes agent-based models to simulate the activity rescheduling decision process from the aspects of individual activity rescheduling and joint trip renegotiating.For the individual activity rescheduling, the model in this thesis wants to explore the relationship between a pair of episodes (two connected …
Kernel estimation and display of a five-dimensional conditional intensity function
2018
The aim of this paper is to find a convenient and effective method of displaying some second order properties in a neighbourhood of a selected point of the process. The used techniques are based on very general high-dimensional nonparametric smoothing developed to define a more gen- eral version of the conditional intensity function introduced in earlier earthquake studies by Vere-Jones (1978). 1976) is commonly used for such a purpose in discussing the cumulative behavior of interpoint distances about an initial point. It is defined as the expected number of events falling within a given distance of the initial event, divided by the overall density (rate in 2-dimensions) of the process, sa…
Channels through Which Human Capital Inequality Influences Economic Growth
2011
This paper empirically investigates the theoretical predictions of some of the channels through which human capital inequality may discourage investment and growth. In a cross section of countries over the period 1960–2000, findings reveal that, all other things being equal, a greater degree of human capital inequality increases fertility rates and reduces life expectancy, which in turn hampers the accumulation rates of human capital. This effect is reinforced in the countries where individuals find it difficult to access credit. Extensive sensitivity analyses show that the results are robust across specifications and are not driven by atypical observations, endogenous regressors, or unobse…
Gender differences in French undergraduates' academic plans and wage expectations
2016
International audience; Gender differences in wage expectations may affect investment in human capital and increase inequalities in the labour market. Our research based on a survey of first-year students at a French university aims to focus on expectations at the beginning of the career. Our results show that anticipated earnings differ significantly between men and women. One year after graduation, we find a gender gap in pay of 16 percent. A wage decomposition method indicates that most of this effect is due to anticipation of discrimination. Ten years after graduation, anticipated discrimination is still almost as dominant in explaining the gender gap in pay. Finally, using a survey of …
Private Pension Funds
2021
The sociodemographic situation in CEE, characterized by the reduction of birth rate and increased share of elderly, draws attention to national social protection systems and in particular to public pension systems. The direct link between the labor market and public pension systems, based on the principle of social solidarity between generations, runs the risk of diminishing budgetary resources obtained from social contributions, while spending on benefits will increase, due to a higher number of beneficiaries, as well as due to the increase in life expectancy, which will determine that the period for which the benefits will be provided will be longer.