Search results for "Interest rate"
showing 10 items of 139 documents
The Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate: Is it Fundamental?
2002
In this paper we have applied two approaches to the study of the dollar real exchange rate in relation with the Euro-area currencies. First, using dynamic panel techniques, we estimate an error correction model for the dollar real exchange rate versus seven developed countries, four of them Euro-area members. Second, we aggregate the European variables and estimate a model for the Euro-dollar real exchange rate using time series techniques. After identification and model selection, the same specification can be adopted in the two cases, in an eclectic model including real interest rate and productivity differentials, together with relative fiscal policy and net foreign asset positions. This…
The Euro-Mediterranean Partnership and Financial Integration: a first assessment for selected countries
2009
In this paper, we try to provide a first assessment on the extent of financial integration and convergence between selected European and Southern Mediterranean countries involved in the Barcelona process. In particular, we implement a simple test of capital mobility based on the verification of the international real interest parity hypothesis between domestic rates against the real rate of Germany, used as the European reference country, and against the real rate of the US. We repeat the test before and after the introduction of the Euro, and then measure the speed of real interest rate convergence.
Risk Management for Sovereign Financing within a Debt Sustainability Framework
2018
The mix of instruments used to finance a sovereign is a key determinant of debt sustainability through its effect on funding costs and risks. We extend standard debt sustainability analysis to incorporate debt-financing decisions in the presence of macroeconomic, financial, and fiscal risks. We optimize the maturity of debt instruments to trade off borrowing costs with refinancing risk. Risk is quantified with a coherent measure of tail risk of financing needs, conditional Flow-at-Risk. A constraint on the pace of reduction of debt stocks is also imposed, and we model the effect of debt stocks on the yield curve through endogenous risk and term premia. On a simulated economy, we show that t…
Financial incentive to prepay in fixed-rate mortgages
2004
The borrower's financial incentive to prepay is a crucial determinant in estimating prepayment in mortgage pools and, consequently, in valuing mortgage-backed securities. In mortgage prepayment literature, this incentive to prepay has been proxied by both the ratio of the loan rate to the refinancing rate and by the arithmetic spread between the two rates; however, the former is considered to be a better proxy of the refinancing incentive than the latter by a section of the literature. In this paper, the authors check the accuracy of that statement and subsequently estimate two prepayment functions using, alternatively, the two proxies. The results indicate that the use of the ratio does no…
Financing successful small business projects
2014
Purpose – The current credit rationing strongly influences the viability of SMEs innovation projects. In this context, the practice of screening borrowers by project success probability has become a paramount consideration for both lenders and firms. The aim of this paper is to test the screening role of loan contracts that consider collateral-interest margins simultaneously. Design/methodology/approach – This paper presents an empirical analysis that uses a unique data set composed of 323 bank loans granted by 28 banks to SMEs backed by a Spanish Mutual Guarantee Institution. Findings – The results show that appropriate combinations of collateral and interest rates can distinguish between…
GOVERNANCE-BASED ACQUISITIONS AND RISK TAKING IN BANKING
2008
We examine the market for corporate control in banking when strategic acquisitions are driven by the different governance structures of commercial and savings banks. In contrast to profit-maximizing entities, we show that savings institutions can have acquisition incentives from their peculiar governance and ownership structure. Governance-based acquisition incentives, which interact with the specifics of the loan market in affecting bank risk taking, can arise when acquisitions take place sequentially or simultaneously, and also when financial intermediaries affect risk taking directly through the target return of investments or indirectly through the loan interest rate.
The Impact of Financial Arrangements and Institutional Form on Housing Prices
2009
Published version of an article from the journal: The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. Also available on SpringerLink: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11146-009-9213-z Dwellings in housing cooperatives constitute 15% of the Norwegian housing property market. The price paid for such dwellings consists of two elements: An equity price and a share of the mutual debt held by the cooperative. The interest rate paid on the housing cooperative’s mutual debt is in Norway lower than the interest rate paid on private loans. This gives rise to an interest discount effect . We find convincing empirical support for the interest discount effect, which contributes to a higher equity price for dwel…
Financing of Productive Investments: A Model with Coordinated Scenarios
2015
This research raises a company that knows the cash requirements to purchase capital equipments in order to satisfy the demand for the products of each of the proposed scenarios. The company is negotiating with credit institutions a series of loans at different interest rates. Also, the company can make capital increases. A model focused on the financial needs using scenarios allows us to combine funding sources to cover the costs of the acquisition of production equipment to meet the demand for each scenario. This combination remunerates own financing, settles interest and repays the borrowed capital. The results indicate that the model is robust and minimizes the financial cost of a possib…
Nonrenewable Energy Prices and Stock Prices of EU Financial Companies: A Short Versus Long-Term Analysis
2021
This paper investigates the relationship between financial companies’ stock prices and nonrenewable energy sources prices (crude oil and coal price) using a sample of major financial companies headquartered in the EU. The link between stock prices and nonrenewable energy sources prices risk is modeled using a set of macroeconomic variables, such as Brent crude oil price, coal price, local stock market indices, the EUR/USD exchange rate, long-term interest rates and a global volatility measure (VIX). We apply panel data as the base econometric model and an ARDL extension that sheds light on the long versus short-run exposure of EU financial companies to nonrenewable energy prices volatility.…
Exchange Rate and Inflation Risk Premia in the UME
2012
This paper tests the effects of exchange rate and inflation risk factors on asset pricing in the European Union (EU) stock markets. This investigation is motivated by the results of Vassalou (2000) [Journal of International Money and Finance, 19, 433-70] showing that both exchange rate and foreign inflation are generally priced in equity returns, and the opportunity to evaluate the causality between these sources of risk after the elimination of the EU currency risks because of the adoption of the single currency. Our results show that both exchange rate and inflation risks are significantly priced in the pre- and post-euro periods. Moreover, the size of exchange rate and inflation risk pre…