Search results for "Mathematics::Probability"

showing 10 items of 63 documents

The linear birth and death process under the influence of independently occurring disasters

1989

A population developing according to a time homogeneous linear birth and death process is subjected to an independently occurring random sequence of disasters. Using an embedded Galton-Watson process with random environments explicit results about the probability of extinction and the asymptotic behavior of the process are obtained.

Statistics and ProbabilityBirth and death processeducation.field_of_studyExtinctionPopulationRandom sequenceBirth–death processMathematics::ProbabilityHomogeneousStatisticsQuantitative Biology::Populations and EvolutionRandom eventStatistics Probability and UncertaintyeducationAnalysisDemographyMathematicsProbability Theory and Related Fields
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Directed random walk on the backbone of an oriented percolation cluster

2012

We consider a directed random walk on the backbone of the infinite cluster generated by supercritical oriented percolation, or equivalently the space-time embedding of the ``ancestral lineage'' of an individual in the stationary discrete-time contact process. We prove a law of large numbers and an annealed central limit theorem (i.e., averaged over the realisations of the cluster) using a regeneration approach. Furthermore, we obtain a quenched central limit theorem (i.e.\ for almost any realisation of the cluster) via an analysis of joint renewals of two independent walks on the same cluster.

Statistics and ProbabilityDiscrete mathematicsdynamical random environment82B43Probability (math.PR)Random walkRandom walksupercritical clusterddc:60K3760K37 60J10 82B43 60K35Mathematics::Probability60K35Percolationcentral limit theorem in random environmentContact process (mathematics)Cluster (physics)FOS: MathematicsEmbedding60J10Statistics Probability and UncertaintyMathematics - Probabilityoriented percolationMathematicsCentral limit theorem
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Mean square rate of convergence for random walk approximation of forward-backward SDEs

2020

AbstractLet (Y,Z) denote the solution to a forward-backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE). If one constructs a random walk$B^n$from the underlying Brownian motionBby Skorokhod embedding, one can show$L_2$-convergence of the corresponding solutions$(Y^n,Z^n)$to$(Y, Z).$We estimate the rate of convergence based on smoothness properties, especially for a terminal condition function in$C^{2,\alpha}$. The proof relies on an approximative representation of$Z^n$and uses the concept of discretized Malliavin calculus. Moreover, we use growth and smoothness properties of the partial differential equation associated to the FBSDE, as well as of the finite difference equations associated to t…

Statistics and ProbabilityDiscretizationapproximation schemeMalliavin calculus01 natural sciences010104 statistics & probabilityconvergence rateMathematics::ProbabilityConvergence (routing)random walk approximation 2010 Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary 60H10FOS: MathematicsApplied mathematics0101 mathematicsBrownian motionrandom walk approximationMathematicsstokastiset prosessitSmoothness (probability theory)konvergenssiApplied Mathematics010102 general mathematicsProbability (math.PR)Backward stochastic differential equationsFunction (mathematics)Random walkfinite difference equation[MATH.MATH-PR]Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]Rate of convergencebackward stochastic differential equations60G50 Secondary 60H3060H35approksimointidifferentiaaliyhtälötMathematics - Probability
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Can the Adaptive Metropolis Algorithm Collapse Without the Covariance Lower Bound?

2011

The Adaptive Metropolis (AM) algorithm is based on the symmetric random-walk Metropolis algorithm. The proposal distribution has the following time-dependent covariance matrix at step $n+1$ \[ S_n = Cov(X_1,...,X_n) + \epsilon I, \] that is, the sample covariance matrix of the history of the chain plus a (small) constant $\epsilon>0$ multiple of the identity matrix $I$. The lower bound on the eigenvalues of $S_n$ induced by the factor $\epsilon I$ is theoretically convenient, but practically cumbersome, as a good value for the parameter $\epsilon$ may not always be easy to choose. This article considers variants of the AM algorithm that do not explicitly bound the eigenvalues of $S_n$ away …

Statistics and ProbabilityFOS: Computer and information sciencesIdentity matrixMathematics - Statistics TheoryStatistics Theory (math.ST)Upper and lower boundsStatistics - Computation93E3593E15Combinatorics60J27Mathematics::ProbabilityLaw of large numbers65C40 60J27 93E15 93E35stochastic approximationFOS: MathematicsEigenvalues and eigenvectorsComputation (stat.CO)Metropolis algorithmMathematicsProbability (math.PR)Zero (complex analysis)CovariancestabilityUniform continuityBounded function65C40Statistics Probability and Uncertaintyadaptive Markov chain Monte CarloMathematics - Probability
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Fractional Brownian motion and Martingale-differences

2004

Abstract We generalize a result of Sottinen (Finance Stochastics 5 (2001) 343) by proving an approximation theorem for the fractional Brownian motion, with H> 1 2 , using martingale-differences.

Statistics and ProbabilityGeometric Brownian motionFractional Brownian motionMathematics::ProbabilityDiffusion processReflected Brownian motionMathematical analysisBrownian excursionStatistics Probability and UncertaintyHeavy traffic approximationMartingale (probability theory)Martingale representation theoremMathematicsStatistics & Probability Letters
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Product and moment formulas for iterated stochastic integrals (associated with Lévy processes)

2019

In this paper, we obtain explicit product and moment formulas for products of iterated integrals generated by families of square integrable martingales associated with an arbitrary Levy process. We...

Statistics and ProbabilityMoment (mathematics)Pure mathematicsMathematics::ProbabilitySquare-integrable functionIterated integralsIterated functionModeling and SimulationProduct (mathematics)Lévy processMathematicsStochastics
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Erratum to “Simulation of BSDEs with jumps by Wiener Chaos expansion” [Stochastic Process. Appl. 126 (2016) 2123–2162]

2017

Abstract We correct Proposition 2.9 from “Simulation of BSDEs with jumps by Wiener Chaos expansion” published in Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 126 (2016) 2123–2162. The proposition which provides an expression for the expectation of products of multiple integrals (w.r.t. Brownian motion and compensated Poisson process) requires a stronger integrability assumption on the kernels than previously stated. This does not affect the remaining results of the article.

Statistics and ProbabilityPolynomial chaosStochastic processApplied MathematicsMultiple integral010102 general mathematicsMathematical analysisMotion (geometry)Poisson processExpression (computer science)01 natural sciences010104 statistics & probabilitysymbols.namesakeMathematics::ProbabilityReflected Brownian motionModeling and SimulationsymbolsApplied mathematics0101 mathematicsMathematicsStochastic Processes and their Applications
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A note on Malliavin smoothness on the Lévy space

2017

We consider Malliavin calculus based on the Itô chaos decomposition of square integrable random variables on the Lévy space. We show that when a random variable satisfies a certain measurability condition, its differentiability and fractional differentiability can be determined by weighted Lebesgue spaces. The measurability condition is satisfied for all random variables if the underlying Lévy process is a compound Poisson process on a finite time interval. peerReviewed

Statistics and ProbabilitySmoothness (probability theory)matematiikkaLévy processMalliavin calculus010102 general mathematicsMalliavin calculus01 natural sciencesLévy processinterpolation010104 statistics & probability60H07Mathematics::ProbabilitySquare-integrable functionCompound Poisson processApplied mathematicsinterpolointiDifferentiable functiontila0101 mathematicsStatistics Probability and UncertaintyLp spaceRandom variable60G51MathematicsElectronic Communications in Probability
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Donsker-Type Theorem for BSDEs: Rate of Convergence

2019

In this paper, we study in the Markovian case the rate of convergence in Wasserstein distance when the solution to a BSDE is approximated by a solution to a BSDE driven by a scaled random walk as introduced in Briand, Delyon and Mémin (Electron. Commun. Probab. 6 (2001) Art. ID 1). This is related to the approximation of solutions to semilinear second order parabolic PDEs by solutions to their associated finite difference schemes and the speed of convergence. peerReviewed

Statistics and Probability[MATH.MATH-PR] Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]Markov processType (model theory)scaled random walk01 natural sciencesconvergence rate010104 statistics & probabilitysymbols.namesakeMathematics::ProbabilityConvergence (routing)FOS: MathematicsOrder (group theory)Applied mathematicsWasserstein distance0101 mathematicsDonsker's theoremstokastiset prosessitMathematicskonvergenssiProbability (math.PR)010102 general mathematicsFinite differenceRandom walk[MATH.MATH-PR]Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]Rate of convergencebackward stochastic differential equationssymbolsapproksimointiDonsker’s theoremfinite difference schemedifferentiaaliyhtälötMathematics - Probability
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Existence, uniqueness and Malliavin differentiability of Lévy-driven BSDEs with locally Lipschitz driver

2019

We investigate conditions for solvability and Malliavin differentiability of backward stochastic differential equations driven by a L\'evy process. In particular, we are interested in generators which satisfy a locally Lipschitz condition in the $Z$ and $U$ variable. This includes settings of linear, quadratic and exponential growths in those variables. Extending an idea of Cheridito and Nam to the jump setting and applying comparison theorems for L\'evy-driven BSDEs, we show existence, uniqueness, boundedness and Malliavin differentiability of a solution. The pivotal assumption to obtain these results is a boundedness condition on the terminal value $\xi$ and its Malliavin derivative $D\xi…

Statistics and Probabilitymatematiikkalocally Lipschitz generatormalliavin differentiability of BSDEsMalliavin-laskentaexistence and uniqueness of solutions to BSDEsBSDEs with jumpsLipschitz continuityLévy processArticleStochastic differential equationMathematics::ProbabilityModeling and Simulationquadratic BSDEsApplied mathematics60H10UniquenessDifferentiable functiondifferentiaaliyhtälötMathematics - Probabilitystokastiset prosessitMathematics
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