Search results for "PROB"
showing 10 items of 8859 documents
A non-homogeneous Poisson based model for daily rainfall data
2007
In this paper we report some results of the application of a new stochastic model applied to rainfall daily data. The Poisson models, characterized only by the expected rate of events (impulse occurrences, that is the mean number of impulses per unit time) and the assigned probability distribution of the phenomenon magnitude, do not take into consideration the datum regarding the duration of the occurrences, that is fundamental from a hydrological point of view. In order to describe the phenomenon in a way more adherent to its physical nature, we propose a new model simple and manageable. This model takes into account another random variable, representing the duration of the rainfall due to…
Mean-field games and two-point boundary value problems
2014
A large population of agents seeking to regulate their state to values characterized by a low density is considered. The problem is posed as a mean-field game, for which solutions depend on two partial differential equations, namely the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation and the Fokker-Plank-Kolmogorov equation. The case in which the distribution of agents is a sum of polynomials and the value function is quadratic is considered. It is shown that a set of ordinary differential equations, with two-point boundary value conditions, can be solved in place of the more complicated partial differential equations associated with the problem. The theory is illustrated by a numerical example.
Stochastic Differential Equations
2020
Stochastic differential equations describe the time evolution of certain continuous n-dimensional Markov processes. In contrast with classical differential equations, in addition to the derivative of the function, there is a term that describes the random fluctuations that are coded as an Ito integral with respect to a Brownian motion. Depending on how seriously we take the concrete Brownian motion as the driving force of the noise, we speak of strong and weak solutions. In the first section, we develop the theory of strong solutions under Lipschitz conditions for the coefficients. In the second section, we develop the so-called (local) martingale problem as a method of establishing weak so…
Einstein-Smoluchowsky equation handled by complex fractional moments
2014
In this paper the response of a non linear half oscillator driven by α-stable white noise in terms of probability density function (PDF) is investigated. The evolution of the PDF of such a system is ruled by the so called Einstein-Smoluchowsky equation involving, in the diffusive term, the Riesz fractional derivative. The solution is obtained by the use of complex fractional moments of the PDF, calculated with the aid of Mellin transform operator. It is shown that solution can be found for various values of stability index α and for any nonlinear function of the drift term in the stochastic differential equation.
Exact stationary solution for a class of non-linear systems driven by a non-normal delta-correlated process
1995
In this paper the exact stationary solution in terms of probability density function for a restricted class of non-linear systems under both external and parametric non-normal delta-correlated processes is presented. This class has been obtained by imposing a given probability distribution and finding the corresponding dynamical system which satisfies the modified Fokker-Planck equation. The effectiveness of the results has been verified by means of a Monte Carlo simulation.
THE ROLE OF UNBOUNDED TIME-SCALES IN GENERATING LONG-RANGE MEMORY IN ADDITIVE MARKOVIAN PROCESSES
2013
Any additive stationary and continuous Markovian process described by a Fokker–Planck equation can also be described in terms of a Schrödinger equation with an appropriate quantum potential. By using such analogy, it has been proved that a power-law correlated stationary Markovian process can stem from a quantum potential that (i) shows an x-2 decay for large x values and (ii) whose eigenvalue spectrum admits a null eigenvalue and a continuum part of positive eigenvalues attached to it. In this paper we show that such two features are both necessary. Specifically, we show that a potential with tails decaying like x-μ with μ < 2 gives rise to a stationary Markovian process which is not p…
Stochastic seismic analysis of multidegree of freedom systems
1984
Abstract A unconditionally stable step-by-step procedure is proposed to evaluate the mean square response of a linear system with several degrees of freedom, subjected to earthquake ground motion. A non-stationary modulated random process, obtained as the product of a deterministic time envelope function and a stationary noise, is used to simulate earthquake acceleration. The accuracy of the procedure and its extension to nonlinear systems are discussed. Numerical examples are given for a hysteretic system, a duffing oscillator and a linear system with several degrees of freedom.
A simplified analysis for the evaluation of stochastic response of elasto-plastic oscillators
1999
Abstract The paper deals with dynamic hysteretic oscillators without post-yielding hardening, called ideal elasto-plastic oscillators, subjected to white noise. They are characterized by the fact that they do not reach stationarity even though excited by stationary stochastic processes. A simplified solution procedure to capture this behaviour is presented in this paper. It is based on modelling the accumulated plastic deformations as a homogeneous compound Poisson process. In particular, two aspects are addressed in the paper: (1) evaluation of the probabilistic parameters of the accumulated plastic deformation process; and (2) evaluation of the second-order cumulants of the response by me…
Noise-enhanced propagation in a dissipative chain of triggers
2002
International audience; We study the influence of spatiotemporal noise on the propagation of square waves in an electrical dissipative chain of triggers. By numerical simulation, we show that noise plays an active role in improving signal transmission. Using the Signal to Noise Ratio at each cell, we estimate the propagation length. It appears that there is an optimum amount of noise that maximizes this length. This specific case of stochastic resonance shows that noise enhances propagation.
Noise Induced Phenomena in the Dynamics of Two Competing Species
2015
Noise through its interaction with the nonlinearity of the living systems can give rise to counter-intuitive phenomena. In this paper we shortly review noise induced effects in different ecosystems, in which two populations compete for the same resources. We also present new results on spatial patterns of two populations, while modeling real distributions of anchovies and sardines. The transient dynamics of these ecosystems are analyzed through generalized Lotka-Volterra equations in the presence of multiplicative noise, which models the interaction between the species and the environment. We find noise induced phenomena such as quasi-deterministic oscillations, stochastic resonance, noise …