Search results for "Probabilité"
showing 9 items of 9 documents
Historical and Technical Notes on Aqueducts from Prehistoric to Medieval Times
2013
The aim of this paper is to present the evolution of aqueduct technologies through the millennia, from prehistoric to medieval times. These hydraulic works were used by several civilizations to collect water from springs and to transport it to settlements, sanctuaries and other targets. Several civilizations, in China and the Americas, developed water transport systems independently, and brought these to high levels of sophistication. For the Mediterranean civilizations, one of the salient characteristics of cultural development, since the Minoan Era (ca. 3200-1100 BC), is the architectural and hydraulic function of aqueducts used for the water supply in palaces and other settlements. The M…
The Bronze Age in Lorraine: a proposed model of the settlement
2022
Thirty years of assiduous preventive archaeology practice in Lorraine have built up a stock of data that can be used for numerous archaeological problems with a spatial focus.For the Bronze Age, as for the other chronological periods, the archaeological occupations discovered during diagnostics and excavations are strongly correlated with current developments (motorways, TGV, housing estates, quarries, etc.). These occupations must be discussed in order to estimate their spatial representativeness. Similarly, the landscape characterisation, in which the occupations highlighted are situated, is an important step in defining the types of settlement.As most of the data comes from the national …
Behaviour of common estimators in dynamic error-components models with autocorrelated disturbances
1997
The purpose of this paper is to make a presentation of the properties of a set of estimators comprising the within, between, OLS and GLS estimators in the study of dynamic error - components models with autocorrelated disturbances. We underline in this study the importance of the statistical distribution governing the initial values for the process and the structure of xit variable for the limiting values of the estimators when the temporal dimension is fixed but the individual dimension N grows indefinitly.
Estimate the mean electricity consumption curve by survey and take auxiliary information into account
2012
In this thesis, we are interested in estimating the mean electricity consumption curve. Since the study variable is functional and storage capacities are limited or transmission cost are high survey sampling techniques are interesting alternatives to signal compression techniques. We extend, in this functional framework, estimation methods that take into account available auxiliary information and that can improve the accuracy of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator of the mean trajectory. The first approach uses the auxiliary information at the estimation stage, the mean curve is estimated using model-assisted estimators with functional linear regression models. The second method involves the au…
Espace et conflit : le choix des investissements dans des régions à risques
1988
Dans le classement et le choix des investissements, les risques dans l'espace doivent être ajoutés à l'incertitude du futur dans le cadre d'un calcul économique élargi. Cette approche permet de définir des critères pour évaluer les méthodes pratiques d'estimation des risques régionaux.
Exploitation des données d’epidémiosurveillance à l’échelle de la décade : les pratiques culturales en colza influencent aussi indirectement la compo…
2013
The ‘Biovigilance Flore’ national weed survey gathers about 5400 field data over 714 communes and 9 years. At this spatial and temporal scale, it is possible to partition the impact of different factors on weed flora and to highlight differences between generalist species and species more specialized to particular environmental or agricultural conditions. In this article, we analyzed and compared changes in weed flora of both oilseed rape and winter wheat. Results showed that a part of changes observed in winter wheat can be attributed to new species ‘entering’ or increasing their frequencies in oilseed rape. On one hand, this results stress the importance of considering the crop rotation s…
Estimations de probabilités d'accès aux seconds cycles de l'enseignement secondaire à l'issue de la classe de 3ème
1982
International audience
Infected persons by the fact of a public organism : is a fair compensation by the community realistic ? A graph-theory pproach
1999
The paper focuses on indirectly infected persons (persons infected by a person, infected by a person, etc., itself infected by a public organism, for AIDS, hepatitis C, etc.). It is assumed that fairness implies the national community to indemnify them. Graph theory is used to explain what is indirect infection. The concept of chains of infection, and their length is central. Re-infections are considered also because even individuals that are initially infected by another cause could become later indirectly infected by the public agent. The number of persons to be indemnified is larger than for direct infection, so the cost of compensation is higher, unless if compensation per capita is low…
Le score de propension : un guide méthodologique pour les recherches expérimentales et quasi expérimentales en éducation
2016
La méthode du score de propension devient de plus en plus populaire pour estimer les effets causaux d’un programme d’intervention. Si les applications empiriques de cette méthode sont encore rares dans les recherches en éducation, des exemples de son utilisation se trouvent aisément dans d’autres disciplines. Cependant, sa mise en place soulève plusieurs questions. L’objectif de cet article est de fournir des éléments de réponses guidant le chercheur et l’évaluateur du domaine de l’éducation pour l’estimation et l’utilisation du score de propension. Les différentes étapes de son application sont présentées pas à pas : évaluation du biais de sélection, construction du score de propension et …