Search results for "Précipitation"
showing 10 items of 39 documents
Interpolation par régressions locales : application aux précipitations en France
2009
Interpolation by local regressions applied to precipitation in France. Two interpolation methods are presented. The global one operates by means of a regression processing applied on the complete data set and the local one consists in a regression processing applied individually to many local sets made of recording stations each. The procedure is applied to the amount of precipitation in France. The local interpolation provides better results than the global one. The contradictory effects between crest lines and plains close below which are drier are well shown by the local model. This one allows other indicators from the regressions which interpretation provides keys for understanding how …
Montagnes d’Afrique tropicale : marqueurs de la variabilité climatique ou isolats climatiques ?
2011
6 pages; International audience; Les montagnes tropicales sont souvent perçues comme des sentinelles des changements climatiques. Pour autantles variations climatiques interannuelles à décennales sont-elles le reflet de celles des espaces environnants ? A l’échelle del’Afrique au sud du Sahara, une analyse de la variabilité des pluies entre 1941 et 2000 montre une cohérence spatiale peudiminuée par les reliefs. Des exemples sont présentés de reliefs constituant même des révélateurs de la dynamiqueatmosphérique et de la variabilité climatique d’échelles larges.
Etude diagnostique de nouvelles données climatiques : les réanalyses. Exemples d'application aux précipitations en Afrique tropicale
2000
This study establishes an objective diagnosis of NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data reliability over tropical Africa at intra-seasonal to interannuel space scale. The reanalysis data are an original database available over 1958-1998 period which combines observations and atmospheric model outputs and allows us to better understand global scale atmospheric dynamics. The study of data reliability allows us to identify a great number of recommendations for using them. Over tropical Africa, the homogeneous period which should be extracted goes from 1968 to 1998. Before this year, reanalysed datasets should be used with greatest caution. However, during this period, the SMWDA, a statistical method used t…
Etudes climatiques régionales Applications à la variabilité pluviométrique en Afrique australe et orientale et à la qualité de l'air en Bourgogne
2004
Les chapitres 1 à 4 concernent l'Afrique, et essentiellement l'Afrique australe Chapitre 1 : Aspects spatiaux et saisonniers de la variabilité pluviométrique Excédents et déficits pluviométriques sont en priorité liés à des modifications de l'amplitude du régime pluviométrique saisonnier. La variabilité interannuelle s'inscrit dans un cadre spatial contraint par les régimes pluviométriques moyens. Néanmoins, certaines saisons sont plus propices au développement d'anomalies généralisées. Tel est le cas des short rains en Afrique de l'Est. Les anomalies pluviométriques majeures interviennent lors de la saison des pluies mais ne revêtent pas un caractère homogène. En Afrique du Sud, Octobre se…
Bias correction of dynamically downscaled precipitation to compute soil water deficit for explaining year-to-year variation of tree growth over north…
2017
This paper documents the accuracy of a post-correction method applied to precipitation regionalized by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Regional Climate Model (RCM) for improving simulated rainfall and feeding impact studies. The WRF simulation covers Burgundy (northeastern France) at a 8-km resolution and over a 20-year long period (1989–2008). Previous results show a strong deficiency of the WRF model for simulating precipitation, especially when convective processes are involved. In order to reduce such biases, a Quantile Mapping (QM) method is applied to WRF-simulated precipitation using the mesoscale atmospheric analyses system SAFRAN («Système d'Analyse Fournissant des Rense…
L'activité dépressionnaire et anticyclonique hivernale des moyennes latitudes du Pacifique Nord
2007
Using a new automated scheme, synoptic mid-latitudes cyclone and anticyclone trajectories have been constructed over the North Pacific from daily sea level pressure (SLP) data, covering the period 1950-2001. Over the North-Eastern Pacific, the strength of anticyclones diminished and their frequency became more variable, while cyclones intensified and presented further southerly trajectories since the mid-1970s. Thus, cyclonic and anticyclonic activities are significantly anti-correlated. These transient activity changes averaged out into anomalously low winter mean SLP in the Aleutian Low region, consistent with the positive phase of the North Pacific Oscillation, inducing positive sea surf…
Résolution spatiale des MNT et qualité de l'estimation des températures et des précipitations en France
2015
DTM spatial resolution and temperature and amount of rainfall estimation in France. The spatial variationanalysis of normal temperature and amount of rainfall in France is performed by simple linear correlations where elevationis the explanatory variable. The latter is provided in seven resolutions: 250,500 m, 1, 2, 4, 8 and 16 km. The correlationcoefficient is used to assess what is the resolution that works best. Temperatures are optimally explained by the 250 mresolution, the coarser resolutions producing lower quality results. The 2km resolution best explains the spatial variation ofrainfall.
Study of nucleation-growth processes of ettringite, alone or in a tricalcium aluminate/calcium sulfate system
2019
Ettringite Ca6Al2(SO4)3(OH)12.26H2O is one of the main hydration products of cements but despite the importance of this compound for cement chemistry, laws governing its precipitation processes have been poorly studied. This PhD thesis was entirely focused on the study of ettringite and on its nucleation-growth mechanisms.Ettringite precipitation was first studied alone from supersaturated ionic solutions. Experiments were designed in order to study separately processes of nucleation and growth. The Classical Theory of Nucleation was applied and allowed the determination of the interfacial energy of ettringite. A global description of ettringite precipitation process has been suggested. It …
Adapter localement les prévisions climatiques saisonnières : désagrégation stochastique et interpolation spatiale.
2013
6 pages; International audience; Un panorama est fait des méthodes de descente d’échelles permettant de passer de prévisions climatiques saisonnières de large-échelle à des séries locales journalières. L’exemple des générateurs stochastiques de temps est appliqué à la prévision des récoltes de sorgho au Kenya, dans le cadre du programme ANR PICREVAT. Une méthode d’interpolation spatiale des paramètres des générateurs est testée, pour obtenir des séries journalières de précipitations en tout point du territoire. Les séries générées sont utilisées en entrée du modèle agronomique SARRA-H.
Climatic gradients along the windward slopes of Mount Kenya and their implication for crop risks. Part 2 : crop sensitivity.
2016
16 pages; International audience; Mount Kenya is an equatorial mountain whose climatic setting is fairly simple (two rainy seasons in March–May, the Long Rains, and October–December, the Short Rains) though concealing significant spatial variations related to elevation and aspect (part I, Camberlin et al., 2014). This part II is dedicated to the sensitivity of sorghum yields to climate variability in space and time, with a focus on the intra-seasonal characteristics of the rainy seasons. To that aim we use the crop model SARRA-H calibrated for the region and fed with rainfall, temperature, wind speed, humidity and solar radiation data over the period 1973–2001 at three stations located on t…