Search results for "Statistics & Probability"

showing 10 items of 436 documents

A note on Malliavin smoothness on the Lévy space

2017

We consider Malliavin calculus based on the Itô chaos decomposition of square integrable random variables on the Lévy space. We show that when a random variable satisfies a certain measurability condition, its differentiability and fractional differentiability can be determined by weighted Lebesgue spaces. The measurability condition is satisfied for all random variables if the underlying Lévy process is a compound Poisson process on a finite time interval. peerReviewed

Statistics and ProbabilitySmoothness (probability theory)matematiikkaLévy processMalliavin calculus010102 general mathematicsMalliavin calculus01 natural sciencesLévy processinterpolation010104 statistics & probability60H07Mathematics::ProbabilitySquare-integrable functionCompound Poisson processApplied mathematicsinterpolointiDifferentiable functiontila0101 mathematicsStatistics Probability and UncertaintyLp spaceRandom variable60G51MathematicsElectronic Communications in Probability
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The Induced Smoothed lasso: A practical framework for hypothesis testing in high dimensional regression.

2020

This paper focuses on hypothesis testing in lasso regression, when one is interested in judging statistical significance for the regression coefficients in the regression equation involving a lot of covariates. To get reliable p-values, we propose a new lasso-type estimator relying on the idea of induced smoothing which allows to obtain appropriate covariance matrix and Wald statistic relatively easily. Some simulation experiments reveal that our approach exhibits good performance when contrasted with the recent inferential tools in the lasso framework. Two real data analyses are presented to illustrate the proposed framework in practice.

Statistics and ProbabilityStatistics::TheoryInduced smoothingEpidemiologyComputer scienceFeature selectionWald test01 natural sciencesasthma researchStatistics::Machine Learning010104 statistics & probability03 medical and health sciencesHealth Information ManagementLasso (statistics)Linear regressionsparse modelsStatistics::MethodologyComputer Simulation0101 mathematicssandwich formula030304 developmental biologyStatistical hypothesis testing0303 health sciencesCovariance matrixlung functionRegression analysisStatistics::Computationsparse modelResearch DesignAlgorithmSmoothingvariable selectionStatistical methods in medical research
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Selecting the tuning parameter in penalized Gaussian graphical models

2019

Penalized inference of Gaussian graphical models is a way to assess the conditional independence structure in multivariate problems. In this setting, the conditional independence structure, corresponding to a graph, is related to the choice of the tuning parameter, which determines the model complexity or degrees of freedom. There has been little research on the degrees of freedom for penalized Gaussian graphical models. In this paper, we propose an estimator of the degrees of freedom in $$\ell _1$$ -penalized Gaussian graphical models. Specifically, we derive an estimator inspired by the generalized information criterion and propose to use this estimator as the bias term for two informatio…

Statistics and ProbabilityStatistics::TheoryKullback–Leibler divergenceKullback-Leibler divergenceComputer scienceGaussianInformation Criteria010103 numerical & computational mathematicsModel complexityModel selection01 natural sciencesTheoretical Computer Science010104 statistics & probabilitysymbols.namesakeStatistics::Machine LearningGeneralized information criterionEntropy (information theory)Statistics::MethodologyGraphical model0101 mathematicsPenalized Likelihood Kullback-Leibler Divergence Model Complexity Model Selection Generalized Information Criterion.Model selectionEstimatorStatistics::ComputationComputational Theory and MathematicsConditional independencesymbolsPenalized likelihoodStatistics Probability and UncertaintySettore SECS-S/01 - StatisticaAlgorithmStatistics and Computing
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Clusters of effects curves in quantile regression models

2018

In this paper, we propose a new method for finding similarity of effects based on quantile regression models. Clustering of effects curves (CEC) techniques are applied to quantile regression coefficients, which are one-to-one functions of the order of the quantile. We adopt the quantile regression coefficients modeling (QRCM) framework to describe the functional form of the coefficient functions by means of parametric models. The proposed method can be utilized to cluster the effect of covariates with a univariate response variable, or to cluster a multivariate outcome. We report simulation results, comparing our approach with the existing techniques. The idea of combining CEC with QRCM per…

Statistics and ProbabilityStatistics::TheoryMultivariate statistics05 social sciencesUnivariateFunctional data analysis01 natural sciencesQuantile regressionQuantile regression coefficients modeling Multivariate analysis Functional data analysis Curves clustering Variable selection010104 statistics & probabilityComputational Mathematics0502 economics and businessParametric modelCovariateStatistics::MethodologyApplied mathematics0101 mathematicsStatistics Probability and UncertaintyCluster analysisSettore SECS-S/01 - Statistica050205 econometrics MathematicsQuantile
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Nonlinear parametric quantile models

2020

Quantile regression is widely used to estimate conditional quantiles of an outcome variable of interest given covariates. This method can estimate one quantile at a time without imposing any constraints on the quantile process other than the linear combination of covariates and parameters specified by the regression model. While this is a flexible modeling tool, it generally yields erratic estimates of conditional quantiles and regression coefficients. Recently, parametric models for the regression coefficients have been proposed that can help balance bias and sampling variability. So far, however, only models that are linear in the parameters and covariates have been explored. This paper …

Statistics and ProbabilityStatistics::Theoryquantile regressionEpidemiologyparametric010501 environmental sciences01 natural sciencesquantile regression coefficients models010104 statistics & probabilityOutcome variableHealth Information ManagementCovariateEconometricsHumansStatistics::MethodologyComputer Simulation0101 mathematicsChild0105 earth and related environmental sciencesParametric statisticsMathematicsModels StatisticalForced oscillation technique integrated loss function parametric quantile regression quantile regression coefficients models Child Computer Simulation Humans Regression Analysis Models Statistical Nonlinear DynamicsStatistics::ComputationQuantile regressionNonlinear systemNonlinear Dynamicsintegrated loss functionRegression AnalysisQuantileStatistical Methods in Medical Research
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On the stability and ergodicity of adaptive scaling Metropolis algorithms

2011

The stability and ergodicity properties of two adaptive random walk Metropolis algorithms are considered. The both algorithms adjust the scaling of the proposal distribution continuously based on the observed acceptance probability. Unlike the previously proposed forms of the algorithms, the adapted scaling parameter is not constrained within a predefined compact interval. The first algorithm is based on scale adaptation only, while the second one incorporates also covariance adaptation. A strong law of large numbers is shown to hold assuming that the target density is smooth enough and has either compact support or super-exponentially decaying tails.

Statistics and ProbabilityStochastic approximationMathematics - Statistics TheoryStatistics Theory (math.ST)Law of large numbersMultiple-try Metropolis01 natural sciencesStability (probability)010104 statistics & probabilityModelling and Simulation65C40 60J27 93E15 93E35Adaptive Markov chain Monte CarloFOS: Mathematics0101 mathematicsScalingMetropolis algorithmMathematicsta112Applied Mathematics010102 general mathematicsRejection samplingErgodicityProbability (math.PR)ta111CovarianceRandom walkMetropolis–Hastings algorithmModeling and SimulationAlgorithmStabilityMathematics - ProbabilityStochastic Processes and their Applications
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Testing for local structure in spatiotemporal point pattern data

2017

The detection of clustering structure in a point pattern is one of the main focuses of attention in spatiotemporal data mining. Indeed, statistical tools for clustering detection and identification of individual events belonging to clusters are welcome in epidemiology and seismology. Local second-order characteristics provide information on how an event relates to nearby events. In this work, we extend local indicators of spatial association (known as LISA functions) to the spatiotemporal context (which will be then called LISTA functions). These functions are then used to build local tests of clustering to analyse differences in local spatiotemporal structures. We present a simulation stud…

Statistics and ProbabilityStructure (mathematical logic)010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciencesEvent (computing)Ecological ModelingAssociation (object-oriented programming)Context (language use)computer.software_genre01 natural sciences010104 statistics & probabilityIdentification (information)Point (geometry)Data mining0101 mathematicsCluster analysiscomputer0105 earth and related environmental sciencesStatistical hypothesis testingMathematicsEnvironmetrics
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Quantitative ergodicity for some switched dynamical systems

2012

International audience; We provide quantitative bounds for the long time behavior of a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes with state space Rd × E where E is a finite set. The continuous component evolves according to a smooth vector field that switches at the jump times of the discrete coordinate. The jump rates may depend on the whole position of the process. Under regularity assumptions on the jump rates and stability conditions for the vector fields we provide explicit exponential upper bounds for the convergence to equilibrium in terms of Wasserstein distances. As an example, we obtain convergence results for a stochastic version of the Morris-Lecar model of neurobiology.

Statistics and ProbabilitySwitched dynamical systemsDynamical systems theoryMarkov process01 natural sciences34D2393E15010104 statistics & probabilitysymbols.namesakeCouplingPiecewise Deterministic Markov ProcessPosition (vector)60J25FOS: MathematicsState spaceApplied mathematicsWasserstein distance0101 mathematicsMathematicsProbability (math.PR)010102 general mathematicsErgodicityErgodicity[MATH.MATH-PR]Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]Linear Differential EquationsPiecewisesymbolsJumpAMS-MSC. 60J75; 60J25; 93E15; 34D23Vector fieldStatistics Probability and Uncertainty60J75[ MATH.MATH-PR ] Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]Mathematics - Probability
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Stochastic ordering of classical discrete distributions

2010

For several pairs $(P,Q)$ of classical distributions on $\N_0$, we show that their stochastic ordering $P\leq_{st} Q$ can be characterized by their extreme tail ordering equivalent to $ P(\{k_\ast \})/Q(\{k_\ast\}) \le 1 \le \lim_{k\to k^\ast} P(\{k\})/Q(\{k\})$, with $k_\ast$ and $k^\ast$ denoting the minimum and the supremum of the support of $P+Q$, and with the limit to be read as $P(\{k^\ast\})/Q(\{k^\ast\})$ for $k^\ast$ finite. This includes in particular all pairs where $P$ and $Q$ are both binomial ($b_{n_1,p_1} \leq_{st} b_{n_2,p_2}$ if and only if $n_1\le n_2$ and $(1-p_1)^{n_1}\ge(1-p_2)^{n_2}$, or $p_1=0$), both negative binomial ($b^-_{r_1,p_1}\leq_{st} b^-_{r_2,p_2}$ if and on…

Statistics and ProbabilityWaiting timeApplied MathematicsProbability (math.PR)010102 general mathematicsCoupling (probability)Poisson distribution01 natural sciencesStochastic orderingInfimum and supremumHypergeometric distributionCombinatorics010104 statistics & probabilitysymbols.namesakeFOS: MathematicsMonotone likelihood ratiosymbolsLimit (mathematics)60E150101 mathematicsMathematics - ProbabilityMathematicsAdvances in Applied Probability
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An extended continuous mapping theorem for outer almost sure weak convergence

2019

International audience; We prove an extended continuous mapping theorem for outer almost sure weak convergence in a metric space, a notion that is used in bootstrap empirical processes theory. Then we make use of those results to establish the consistency of several bootstrap procedures in empirical likelihood theory for functional parameters.

Statistics and ProbabilityWeak convergence010102 general mathematicsContinuous mapping theorem16. Peace & justiceEmpirical measure01 natural sciences010104 statistics & probabilityMetric spaceEmpirical likelihoodConsistency (statistics)[MATH.MATH-ST]Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST]Applied mathematicsStatistics::Methodology0101 mathematicsStatistics Probability and UncertaintyMathematics
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