Search results for "jel:G12"
showing 10 items of 11 documents
El componente de selección adversa de la horquilla de precios cotizada: una revisión de los modelos de estimación
2005
-Jose.E.Farinos@uv.es -Ana.M.Ibanez@uv.es Una de las principales preocupaciones en el área de la microestructura del mercado ha sido la estimación de los componentes no observables de la horquilla de precios a partir de las series de datos que proporcionan los mercados financieros, despertando quizá un mayor interés el de selección adversa por la implicaciones que supone la existencia del mismo. Esto ha provocado el desarrollo de numerosos modelos empíricos que, basándose en las propiedades estadísticas de las series de precios, proporcionan dichas estimaciones. La mayor disponibilidad de datos existentes en los mercados ha permitido el desarrollo en los últimos años de modelos basados en t…
A Stochastic Variance Factor Model for Large Datasets and an Application to S&P Data
2008
The aim of this paper is to consider multivariate stochastic volatility models for large dimensional datasets. We suggest the use of the principal component methodology of Stock and Watson [Stock, J.H., Watson, M.W., 2002. Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indices. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20, 147–162] for the stochastic volatility factor model discussed by Harvey, Ruiz, and Shephard [Harvey, A.C., Ruiz, E., Shephard, N., 1994. Multivariate Stochastic Variance Models. Review of Economic Studies, 61, 247–264]. We provide theoretical and Monte Carlo results on this method and apply it to S&P data.
La persistance de la performance des fonds de pension individuels britanniques : une étude empirique sur des fonds investis en actions et des fonds o…
2003
Dans ce présent cahier de recherche, nous nous proposons d’étudier la stabilité des performances de certains fonds de retraite anglais à cotisations définies : les fonds de pension individuels (Personal Pension Scheme). Il s’agit de fonds – pratiquant une gestion active - investissant principalement dans les actions britanniques et de fonds détenant majoritairement des obligations anglaises durant la période novembre 1990 – novembre 2000. Les données sur les fonds de pension individuels proviennent de la base de données UK PENSION de Standard & Poor’s Fund Services et sont de fréquence mensuelle. Nous utilisons des tests paramétriques de l’existence de la persistance, plusieurs mesures de p…
UME Y LA INTEGRACIÓN DE LOS MERCADOS DE CAPITALES EUROPEOS: RELEVANCIA DEL TIPO DE CAMBIO Y LA INFLACIÓN
2007
The aim of this paper is to investigate the effects of the European Monetary Union on the hypothesis of an integrated European Capital Market from January 1993 to December 2004. The extent of the period and the use of Fama and MacBeth [1973]'s methodology for estimating a large number of international asset pricing models that includes an Adler and Dumas [1983] model with and without domestic factor make possible to evaluate this hypothesis as a process towards a full integration. However, our results show that the integration is not a uniform process at all times and for all stocks and recedes in the period 2001-04 with the reappearance of a significant domestic risk premium (diversifiable…
Is Sentiment Risk Priced By Stock Market?
2012
International audience; This study tests if the financial markets price the investors sentiment risk. We construct portfolios based upon the stock returns exposure to sentiment. Our results show that the portfolio returns are positively correlated with the exposure of stocks to sentiment. The strategy that consists of buying stocks with the highest exposure to sentiment and selling stocks with the lowest exposure to sentiment generates a significant raw profit. Exploring the sources of profit, we find that neither the traditional risk factors nor the momentum factor can account for the profit. However, we find that the addition of the sentiment risk premium contributes to explain the profit.
MARKET CORRELATION, MARKET RETURNS AND PORTFOLIO IMPLICATION
2012
In this paper we examine the market correlation and market returns from Romanian perspective. Market returns are higher in emerging markets than developed market returns, but form portfolio perspective it`s also important to evaluate how much correlations are changing in emerging markets. Our results are important in allocation of financial instruments in institutional portfolio management.
Measuring investor sentiment in the stock market
2011
Recently, investor sentiment measures have become one of the more widely examined areas in behavioral finance. A number of measures have been developed in the literature without having been fully validated, and therefore leaving in question which measure should be used for empirical exploration. The purpose of this study is to examine the relative performance of a number of popular measures in predicting stock returns and to test the relative efficacy of a hybrid approach. Using a panel of investor sentiment measures, we develop a new measure of sentiment which combines direct and indirect sentiment measures. Our results show that our composite sentiment index affects the returns of stocks …
SINGLE FACTOR STOCHASTIC MODELS WITH SEASONALITY APPLIED TO UNDERLYING WEATHER DERIVATIVES VARIABLES
2003
This paper estimates single factor stochastic models describing daily air temperature behaviour. We modify classical financial models to reflect temperature seasonality and fit them to a time series representing temperatures in Spain. The estimated models are used in Montecarlo simulations to obtain heating and cooling degree-days, which are used as an underlying reference in weather derivatives. The final goal of this work is to obtain an insight into weather derivative valuation, and so making it easier to manage economic activity risks closely related to temperature (i.e. oil, gas and electricity prices and volumes). En este trabajo se estiman modelos estocásticos unifactoriales que desc…
Do Investors Care About Noise Trader Risk?
2011
International audience; The link between investor sentiment and asset valuation is at the center of a long-running debate in behavioral finance. Using a new composite sentiment indicator, we show that the conventional risk does not explain the abnormal returns of portfolios most sensitive to the sentiment factor. Our result supports the existence of a sentiment risk valued by financial markets. We also find that the firms more impacted by the sentiment risk correspond to difficult-to-arbitrage and hard-to-value stocks, e.g. small stocks, growth stocks, young stocks, unprofitable stocks, lower dividend-paying stocks, intangible stocks and high volatility stocks.
ESTUDIO DEL EFECTO INFORMATIVO DEL ANUNCIO DE BENEFICIOS TRIMESTRALES
2005
In this research we investigate whether quarterly earnings announcements are informative using awide sample of firms listed in the Spanish Stock Market (SIBE). We study the period comprised between thethird quarterly of 2002 and the fourth quarterly of 2003. We analyse whether abnormal returns are related tothe quarter in which the announcement is released, whether the announcement implies good or bad news forthe firm, the source of the information, the size of the firm and whether the firm is followed by analysts.Results show that quarterly earnings announcements are informative. We also obtain evidence of a possibleuse of insider information in the case of the announcements disclosed in t…