Search results for "methodology."
showing 10 items of 822 documents
Calibration and partial calibration on principal components when the number of auxiliary variables is large
2014
In survey sampling, calibration is a very popular tool used to make total estimators consistent with known totals of auxiliary variables and to reduce variance. When the number of auxiliary variables is large, calibration on all the variables may lead to estimators of totals whose mean squared error (MSE) is larger than the MSE of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator even if this simple estimator does not take account of the available auxiliary information. We study in this paper a new technique based on dimension reduction through principal components that can be useful in this large dimension context. Calibration is performed on the first principal components, which can be viewed as the synthet…
Minimum contrast for the first-order intensity estimation of spatial and spatio-temporal point processes
2023
In this paper, we exploit a result in point process theory, knowing the expected value of the $K$-function weighted by the true first-order intensity function. This theoretical result can serve as an estimation method for obtaining the parameters estimates of a specific model, assumed for the data. The motivation is to generally avoid dealing with the complex likelihoods of some complex point processes models and their maximization. This can be more evident when considering the local second-order characteristics, since the proposed method can estimate the vector of the local parameters, one for each point of the analysed point pattern. We illustrate the method through simulation studies for…
Improving the estimation of the odds-ratio using auxiliary information
2014
The odds ratio measure is used in health and social surveys where the odds of a certain event is to be compared between two populations. It is defined using logistic regression, and requires that data from surveys are accompanied by their weights. A nonparametric estimation method that incorporates survey weights and auxiliary information may improve the precision of the odds ratio estimator. It consists in $B$-spline calibration which can handle the nonlinear structure of the parameter. The variance is estimated through linearization. Implementation is possible through standard survey softwares. The gain in precision depends on the data as shown on two examples.
dynamite: An R Package for Dynamic Multivariate Panel Models
2023
dynamite is an R package for Bayesian inference of intensive panel (time series) data comprising of multiple measurements per multiple individuals measured in time. The package supports joint modeling of multiple response variables, time-varying and time-invariant effects, a wide range of discrete and continuous distributions, group-specific random effects, latent factors, and customization of prior distributions of the model parameters. Models in the package are defined via a user-friendly formula interface, and estimation of the posterior distribution of the model parameters takes advantage of state-of-the-art Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The package enables efficient computation of …
Using complex surveys to estimate the $L_1$-median of a functional variable: application to electricity load curves
2012
Mean profiles are widely used as indicators of the electricity consumption habits of customers. Currently, in \'Electricit\'e De France (EDF), class load profiles are estimated using point-wise mean function. Unfortunately, it is well known that the mean is highly sensitive to the presence of outliers, such as one or more consumers with unusually high-levels of consumption. In this paper, we propose an alternative to the mean profile: the $L_1$-median profile which is more robust. When dealing with large datasets of functional data (load curves for example), survey sampling approaches are useful for estimating the median profile avoiding storing the whole data. We propose here estimators of…
The Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation for fitting Dirichlet regression models
2022
This paper introduces a Laplace approximation to Bayesian inference in Dirichlet regression models, which can be used to analyze a set of variables on a simplex exhibiting skewness and heteroscedasticity, without having to transform the data.These data, which mainly consist of proportions or percentages of disjoint categories, are widely known as compositional data and are common in areas such as ecology, geology, and psychology. We provide both the theoretical foundations and a description of how Laplace approximation can be implemented in the case of Dirichlet regression.The paper also introduces the package dirinla in the R-language that extends the RINLA package, which can not deal dire…
Covariate-informed latent interaction models: Addressing geographic & taxonomic bias in predicting bird-plant interactions
2023
Reductions in natural habitats urge that we better understand species' interconnection and how biological communities respond to environmental changes. However, ecological studies of species' interactions are limited by their geographic and taxonomic focus which can distort our understanding of interaction dynamics. We focus on bird-plant interactions that refer to situations of potential fruit consumption and seed dispersal. We develop an approach for predicting species' interactions that accounts for errors in the recorded interaction networks, addresses the geographic and taxonomic biases of existing studies, is based on latent factors to increase flexibility and borrow information acros…
Stationary subspace analysis based on second-order statistics
2021
In stationary subspace analysis (SSA) one assumes that the observable p-variate time series is a linear mixture of a k-variate nonstationary time series and a (p-k)-variate stationary time series. The aim is then to estimate the unmixing matrix which transforms the observed multivariate time series onto stationary and nonstationary components. In the classical approach multivariate data are projected onto stationary and nonstationary subspaces by minimizing a Kullback-Leibler divergence between Gaussian distributions, and the method only detects nonstationarities in the first two moments. In this paper we consider SSA in a more general multivariate time series setting and propose SSA method…
Generalized information criterion for model selection in penalized graphical models
2014
This paper introduces an estimator of the relative directed distance between an estimated model and the true model, based on the Kulback-Leibler divergence and is motivated by the generalized information criterion proposed by Konishi and Kitagawa. This estimator can be used to select model in penalized Gaussian copula graphical models. The use of this estimator is not feasible for high-dimensional cases. However, we derive an efficient way to compute this estimator which is feasible for the latter class of problems. Moreover, this estimator is, generally, appropriate for several penalties such as lasso, adaptive lasso and smoothly clipped absolute deviation penalty. Simulations show that th…
The Geometry of Uniqueness, Sparsity and Clustering in Penalized Estimation
2021
We provide a necessary and sufficient condition for the uniqueness of penalized least-squares estimators whose penalty term is given by a norm with a polytope unit ball, covering a wide range of methods including SLOPE, PACS, fused, clustered and classical LASSO as well as the related method of basis pursuit. We consider a strong type of uniqueness that is relevant for statistical problems. The uniqueness condition is geometric and involves how the row span of the design matrix intersects the faces of the dual norm unit ball, which for SLOPE is given by the signed permutahedron. Further considerations based this condition also allow to derive results on sparsity and clustering features. In …