Search results for "probabilistic"

showing 10 items of 380 documents

A Design Theory for Secure Information Systems Design Methods

2006

Many alternative methods for designing secure information systems (SIS) have been proposed to ensure system security. However, within all the literature on SIS methods, there exists little theoretically grounded work that addresses the fundamental requirements and goals of SIS design. This paper first uses design theory to develop a SIS design theory framework that defines six requirements for SIS design methods, and second, shows how known SIS design methods fail to satisfy these requirements. Third, the paper describes a SIS design method that does address these requirements and reports two empirical studies that demonstrate the validity of the proposed framework. peerReviewed

Iterative designComputer scienceDistributed computingAxiomatic designComputer Science ApplicationsHardware_GENERALSystems engineeringDesigntheorySystems designProbabilistic designIDEF4Design methodsInformation SystemsDesign technologyHardware_LOGICDESIGN
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Optimized secure and reliable distributed data storage scheme and performance evaluation in unattended WSNs

2013

Unattended Wireless Sensor Networks (UWSNs), characterized by the absence of real-time communication between sensors and sinks, impose sensors to retain data till the next visit of a mobile sink to off-load their data. In such networks, if a sensor is compromised, data accumulated in the sensor are exposed to attackers. In addition, by holding the secret key of the compromised sensor, attackers can also learn post-compromise data accumulated by the sensor. Furthermore, once sensors stop working due to, for instance, node crash or battery depletion, all the accumulated data will be lost. In this paper, we propose a secure and reliable data distribution scheme that addresses these challenges.…

Key distribution in wireless sensor networksComputer Networks and CommunicationsForward secrecybusiness.industryComputer scienceNode (networking)Distributed data storeProbabilistic logicKey (cryptography)businessWireless sensor networkComputer networkComputer Communications
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On the use of information systems research methods in data mining

2006

Information systems are powerful instruments for organizational problem solving through formal information processing (Lyytinen, 1987). Data mining (DM) and knowledge discovery are intelligent tools that help to accumulate and process data and make use of it (Fayyad, 1996). Data mining bridges many technical areas, including databases, statistics, machine learning, and human-computer interaction. The set of data mining processes used to extract and verify patterns in data is the core of the knowledge discovery process. Numerous data mining techniques have recently been developed to extract knowledge from large databases. The area of data mining is historically more related to AI (Artificial…

Knowledge extractionComputer scienceProcess (engineering)Pattern recognition (psychology)Information systemProbabilistic logicTechnical reportInformation processingData miningcomputer.software_genrecomputerField (computer science)
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Political risks: the “red shift” in debt sustainability analysis

2020

Political stability and economic policy uncertainty can be key determinants of sovereign debt dynamics, and we show how they can be incorporated in debt sustainability analysis. We distinguish between short-term ambiguity and long-term uncertainty about political risk factors, and using a combination of narrative scenarios and calibrated probabilistic scenarios we obtain a comprehensive heatmap of high-risk debt dynamics. We use Italy as an interesting case study and demonstrate a “red shift” in the assessment of vulnerabilities when accounting for political risks. Ignoring these risks can lead to excessive optimism and wrong decisions.

La stabilità del sistema politico istituzionale e l'incertezza riguardo le politiche economiche sono due fattori chiave che possono influenzare la dinamica del debito pubblico. Nell'articolo si propone un modello di analisi della sostenibilità del debito sovrano che tenga conto dei fattori di rischio concernenti l'assetto istituzionale di un paese e le sue politiche economiche. In particolare distinguendo fra ambiguità a breve termine e incertezza a lungo termine dei fattori di rischio politico e utilizzando una combinazione di scenari narrativi e scenari probabilistici si costruisce una "heatmap" che permette di attribuire ad ogni politica fiscale la probabilità che l'obiettivo di riduzione dello stock di debito o del deficit sia soddisfatto. Il modello è applicato al caso Italia. I risultati mostrano un "red shift" della vulnerabilità del debito pubblico italiano quando sono inclusi nell'analisi i fattori di rischio politico. Si può quindi concludere che ignorare i rischi derivanti dall'instabilità del sistema politico-istuzionale o quelli derivanti dall'incertezza delle politiche economiche può condurre a un eccessivo ottimismo e a conseguenti scelte sbagliate.n debt sustainability analysispolitical risksPolitical riskEconomic policymedia_common.quotation_subjectGeneral EngineeringRed shiftSettore SECS-S/06 -Metodi Mat. dell'Economia e d. Scienze Attuariali e Finanz.HD61DebtSustainabilityEconomicsred shiftRisk in industry. Risk managementmedia_commonRisk Management Magazine
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Deterministic Linkage as a Preceding Filter for Other Record Linkage Methods

2015

Deterministic record linkage (RL) is frequently regarded as a rival to more sophisticated strategies like probabilistic RL. We investigate the effect of combining deterministic linkage with other linkage techniques. For this task, we use a simple deterministic linkage strategy as a preceding filter: a data pair is classified as ‘match' if all values of attributes considered agree exactly, otherwise as ‘nonmatch'. This strategy is separately combined with two probabilistic RL methods based on the Fellegi–Sunter model and with two classification tree methods (CART and Bagging). An empirical comparison was conducted on two real data sets. We used four different partitions into training data a…

Linkage (software)education.field_of_studyComputer scienceDecision tree learningPopulationProbabilistic logiccomputer.software_genreFilter (higher-order function)Expectation–maximization algorithmComputer Science (miscellaneous)Data miningeducationcomputerAlgorithmRecord linkageTest dataInternational Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making
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A Novel Approach for Faulty Sensor Detection and Data Correction in Wireless Sensor Network

2013

he main Wireless Sensor Networks purpose is represented by areas of interest monitoring. Even if the Wireless sensor network is properly initialized, errors can occur during its monitoring tasks. The present work describes an approach for detecting faulty sensors in Wireless Sensor Network and for correcting their corrupted data. The approach is based on the assumption that exist a spatio-temporal cross- correlations among sensors. Two sequential mathematical tools are used. The first stage is a probabilistic tools, namely Markov Random Field, for a two-fold sensor classification (working or damaged). The last stage is represented by the Locally Weighted Regression model, a learning techniq…

Locally Weighted RegressionSettore ING-INF/05 - Sistemi Di Elaborazione Delle InformazioniBrooks–Iyengar algorithmMarkov random fieldVisual sensor networkComputer scienceProbabilistic logicMarkov processMarkov Random FieldSoft sensorcomputer.software_genresymbols.namesakesymbolsMobile wireless sensor networkData miningInternet of ThingcomputerWireless sensor networkWireless Sensor Network2013 Eighth International Conference on Broadband and Wireless Computing, Communication and Applications
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Probabilistic and fuzzy logic in clinical diagnosis

2007

In this study I have compared classic and fuzzy logic and their usefulness in clinical diagnosis. The theory of probability is often considered a device to protect the classical two-valued logic from the evidence of its inadequacy to understand and show the complexity of world [1]. This can be true, but it is not possible to discard the theory of probability. I will argue that the problems and the application fields of the theory of probability are very different from those of fuzzy logic. After the introduction on the theoretical bases of fuzzy approach to logic, I have reported some diagnostic argumentations employing fuzzy logic. The state of normality and the state of disease often figh…

Logicbusiness.industrymedia_common.quotation_subjectfungiProbabilistic logicProbability TheoryFuzzy logichumanitiesProbabilistic logic Fuzzy logic truth diagnosisFuzzy Logicstomatognathic systemProbabilistic logic networkClinical diagnosisDiagnosisEmergency MedicineInternal MedicineHumansMedicineArtificial intelligenceClinical MedicinebusinessMembership functionNormalitymedia_commonInternal and Emergency Medicine
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Probabilistic analysis of non-local random media

2008

Computational stochastic methods have been devoted over the last years to analysis and quantification of the mechanical response of engineering systems involving random media. Specifically analysis of random, heterogeneous media is getting more and more important with the emergence of new complex materials requiring reliable methods to provide accurate probabilistic response. Advanced materials, often used at nano or meso-levels possess strong non-local characters showing that long-range forces between non-adjacent volume elements play an important role in mechanical response. Moreover long and short-range molecular interactions may have random nature due to unpredictable fabrication proces…

Long-range forceFractional CalculuProbabilistic analysiSettore ICAR/08 - Scienza Delle CostruzioniVirtual distortion method
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Variable length Markov chains and dynamical sources

2010

Infinite random sequences of letters can be viewed as stochastic chains or as strings produced by a source, in the sense of information theory. The relationship between Variable Length Markov Chains (VLMC) and probabilistic dynamical sources is studied. We establish a probabilistic frame for context trees and VLMC and we prove that any VLMC is a dynamical source for which we explicitly build the mapping. On two examples, the ``comb'' and the ``bamboo blossom'', we find a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and the unicity of a stationary probability measure for the VLMC. These two examples are detailed in order to provide the associated Dirichlet series as well as the gener…

MSC 60J05 MSC 37E05[MATH.MATH-PR] Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]Probability (math.PR)[MATH.MATH-DS]Mathematics [math]/Dynamical Systems [math.DS][ MATH.MATH-DS ] Mathematics [math]/Dynamical Systems [math.DS]Probabilistic dynamical sources[MATH.MATH-DS] Mathematics [math]/Dynamical Systems [math.DS]Dynamical Systems (math.DS)Variable length Markov chainsOccurrences of words[MATH.MATH-PR]Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]60J05 37E05FOS: MathematicsMathematics - Dynamical SystemsDynamical systems of the intervalDirichlet series[ MATH.MATH-PR ] Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]Mathematics - Probability
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Comparison of Different Hypotheses Regarding the Spread of Alzheimer’s Disease Using Markov Random Fields and Multimodal Imaging

2018

Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is characterized by a cascade of pathological processes that can be assessed in vivo using different neuroimaging methods. Recent research suggests a systematic sequence of pathogenic events on a global biomarker level, but little is known about the associations and dependencies of distinct lesion patterns on a regional level. Markov random fields are a probabilistic graphical modeling approach that represent the interaction between individual random variables by an undirected graph. We propose the novel application of this approach to study the interregional associations and dependencies between multimodal imaging markers of AD pathology and to compare different hy…

Male0301 basic medicineComputer scienceModels Neurologicalphysiopathology [Brain]Machine learningcomputer.software_genrephysiopathology [Alzheimer Disease]Multimodal Imaging03 medical and health sciences0302 clinical medicineNeuroimagingAlzheimer DiseaseHumansddc:610Graphical modeldiagnostic imaging [Brain]Default mode networkAgedModels StatisticalRandom fieldMarkov random fieldMarkov chainbusiness.industryGeneral NeuroscienceProbabilistic logicBrainGeneral MedicineMagnetic Resonance ImagingMarkov ChainsPsychiatry and Mental healthClinical Psychology030104 developmental biologyPositron-Emission TomographyGraph (abstract data type)FemaleArtificial intelligenceGeriatrics and Gerontologybusinessdiagnostic imaging [Alzheimer Disease]computer030217 neurology & neurosurgeryJournal of Alzheimer's Disease
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