Search results for "probability"
showing 10 items of 3417 documents
Modeling accident risk at the road level through zero-inflated negative binomial models: A case study of multiple road networks
2021
Abstract This paper presents a case study carried out in multiple cities of the Valencian Community (Spain) to determine the effect of sociodemographic and road characteristics on traffic accident risk. The analyzes are performed at the road segment level, considering the linear network representing the road structure of each city as a spatial lattice. The number of accidents observed in each road segment from 2010 to 2019 is taken as the response variable, and a zero-inflated modeling approach is considered. Count overdispersion and spatial dependence are also accounted for. Despite the complexity and sparsity of the data, the fitted models performed considerably well, with few exceptions.…
Community detection algorithm evaluation with ground-truth data
2018
International audience; Community structure is of paramount importance for the understanding of complex networks. Consequently, there is a tremendous effort in order to develop efficient community detection algorithms. Unfortunately, the issue of a fair assessment of these algorithms is a thriving open question. If the ground-truth community structure is available, various clustering-based metrics are used in order to compare it versus the one discovered by these algorithms. However, these metrics defined at the node level are fairly insensitive to the variation of the overall community structure. To overcome these limitations, we propose to exploit the topological features of the ‘communit…
System size dependence of the autocorrelation time for the Swendsen-Wang Ising model
1990
Abstract We present Monte Carlo simulation results of the autocorrelation time for the Swendsen-Wang method for the simulation of the Ising model. We have calculated the exponential and the integrated autocorrelation time at the critical point T c of the two-dimensional Ising model. Our results indicate that both autocorrelation times depend logarithmically on the linear system size L instead of a power law. The simulations were carried out on the parallel computer of the condensed matter theory group at the University of Mainz.
Migration and students' performance: detecting geographical differences following a curves clustering approach
2020
Students’ migration mobility is the new form of migration: students migrate to improve their skills and become more valued for the job market. The data regard the migration of Italian Bachelors who enrolled at Master Degree level, moving typically from poor to rich areas. This paper investigates the migration and other possible determinants on the Master Degree students’ performance. The Clustering of Effects approach for Quantile Regression Coefficients Modelling has been used to cluster the effects of some variables on the students’ performance for three Italian macro-areas. Results show evidence of similarity between Southern and Centre students, with respect to the Northern ones.
Local Entropy Characterization of Correlated Random Microstructures
1996
A rigorous connection is established between the local porosity entropy introduced by Boger et al. (Physica A 187, 55 (1992)) and the configurational entropy of Andraud et al. (Physica A 207, 208 (1994)). These entropies were introduced as morphological descriptors derived from local volume fluctuations in arbitrary correlated microstructures occuring in porous media, composites or other heterogeneous systems. It is found that the entropy lengths at which the entropies assume an extremum become identical for high enough resolution of the underlying configurations. Several examples of porous and heterogeneous media are given which demonstrate the usefulness and importance of this morphologic…
The angle of repose of spherical grains in granular Hele-Shaw cells: A molecular dynamics study
2007
We report the results of three dimensional molecular dynamic simulations on the angle of repose of a sandpile formed by pouring mono-sized cohesionless spherical grains into a granular Hele-Shaw cell. In particular, we are interested to investigate the effects of those variables which may impact significantly on pattern formation of granular mixtures in Hele-Shaw cells. The results indicate that the frictional forces influence remarkably the formation of pile on the grain level. Furthermore, We see that increasing grain insertion rate decreases slightly the angle of repose. We also find that in accordance with experimental results, the cell thickness is another significant factor and the an…
Quantitative Analysis of Experimental and Synthetic Microstructures for Sedimentary Rock
1999
A quantitative comparison between the experimental microstructure of a sedimentary rock and three theoretical models for the same rock is presented. The microstructure of the rock sample (Fontainebleau sandstone) was obtained by microtomography. Two of the models are stochastic models based on correlation function reconstruction, and one model is based on sedimentation, compaction and diagenesis combined with input from petrographic analysis. The porosity of all models closely match that of the experimental sample and two models have also the same two point correlation function as the experimental sample. We compute quantitative differences and similarities between the various microstructur…
Hot-electron noise suppression in n-Si via the Hall effect
2008
We investigate how hot-electron fluctuations in n-type Si are affected by the presence of an intense (static) magnetic field in a Hall geometry. By using the Monte Carlo method, we find that the known Hall-effect-induced redistribution of electrons among valleys can suppress electron fluctuations with a simultaneous enhancement of the drift velocity. We investigate how hot-electron fluctuations in n-type Si are affected by the presence of an intense (static) magnetic field in a Hall geometry. By using the Monte Carlo method, we find that the known Hall-effect-induced redistribution of electrons among valleys can suppress electron fluctuations with a simultaneous enhancement of the drift vel…
Liquidity-adjusted value-at-risk optimization of a multi-asset portfolio using a vine copula approach
2019
Abstract This paper develops a novel approach to assess liquidity-adjusted Value-at-Risk (LVaR) optimization of multi-asset portfolios based on vine copulas and LVaR models. This framework is applied to stock markets of the G-7 countries, gold, commodities and Bitcoin. The results show that our approach is superior to the classical mean–variance Markowitz portfolio technique in terms of the optimal portfolio selection under a number of realistic operational and budget constraints. We find that both Bitcoin and gold improves the risk-return performance of the G-7 stock portfolio. However, Bitcoin (gold) performs better under a scenario of only long-positions (when short-selling is allowed).
A Distribution-Free Two-Sample Equivalence Test Allowing for Tied Observations
1999
A new testing procedure is derived which enables to assess the equivalence of two arbitrary noncontinuous distribution functions from which unrelated samples are taken as the data to be analyzed. The equivalence region is defined to consist of all pairs (F, G) of distribution functions such that for independent X ∼F, Y ∼G the conditional probability of {X > Y} given {X ¬= Y} lies in some short interval around 1/2. The test rejects the null hypothesis of nonequivalence if and only if the standardized distance between the U-statistics estimator of P|X > Y | X ¬= Y] and the center of the equivalence interval (1/2 - e 1 , 1/2 + e 2 ) does not exceed a critical upper bound which has to be comput…