Search results for "prédictive"
showing 5 items of 5 documents
Introducing the Human Factor in Predictive Modelling: a Work in Progress
2012
International audience; In this paper we present the results of a study into integrating socio-cultural factors into predictive modelling. So far, predictive modelling has largely neglected the social and cultural dimensions of past landscapes. To maintain its value for archaeological research, therefore, it needs new methodologies, concepts and theories. For this study, we have departed from the methodology developed in the 1990s during the Archaeomedes Project. In this project, cross-regional comparisons of settlement location factors were made by analyzing the environmental context of Roman settlements in the French Rhône Valley. For the current research, we expanded the set of variables…
Probabilité d'apparition d'un phénomène parasitaire et choix de modèles de régression logistique
2007
Epidemiological processes are now using spatial statistics and modelling tools. The main objective of most health risks studies consists in identifying potential contamination sources and factors capable of explaining their localization. Health data often prove binary (typically presence/absence) and specific methods such as binary logistic regression have to be used. This method's output consists in a probability for the pathogen of interest. A posterior classification of each sample is then conducted using a probability threshold. The method used to maximize this threshold is called the ROC curve which consists in giving a representation of the behaviour of the model and then to choose th…
Contextes spatiaux et transformations du système de peuplement : approche comparative et prédictive
2012
International audience; Contextes spatiaux et transformations du système de peuplement : approche comparative et prédictive
Contextes spatiaux et transformation du système de peuplement: approche comparative et prédictive
2011
We propose a method to identify and simulate settling choices Roman rural settlements using predictive modeling, based on the method developed in the 1990s by F.-P. Tourneux within the Archaeomedes project to characterize and compare the environmental contexts of Roman rural settlements in several areas of southern France. We have developped the model for three regions with very different topographical conditions : The Vaunage region (Languedoc, France), the Argens-Maures region (Provence, France) and Zuid-Limburg (Netherlands).
Des contextes spatiaux aux processus transformation de l'habitat rural : l'apport de la modélisation prédictive
2011
International audience; Des contextes spatiaux aux processus transformation de l'habitat rural : l'apport de la modélisation prédictive