Search results for "rules"
showing 10 items of 225 documents
Hart’s blind spot. The missing piece in The Concept of Law
2014
Al inicio de El Concepto de Derecho, Hart sugiere una asimilación errónea entre conducta que es «no opcional» y conducta que es «obligatoria» (i. e. conducta que o es forzada o sometida a una obligación). Esta asimilación vicia el argumento del libro en su conjunto, llevándole a Hart a descuidar las diferentes vías en las que el derecho monitorea, corrobora o constituye relaciones de poder. Es cierto y evidente que en The Concept of Law la atención se dedica a los poderes normativos, legales. Sin embargo, el poder social bruto, y las relaciones del derecho con él —el papel del derecho como una pieza en la maquinaria de los poderes sociales— están ampliamente ignorados. Éste es, de alguna ma…
Reasons, Rules, Exceptions. Towards a Psychological Account
2018
In this paper we defend a psychological account of rule-based reasoning, specifically of the relationship between rules and exceptions. The topic of our inquiry are the relations between rules, the reasons underlying them, and exceptions. In analysing these relations, first, we outline an apparent paradox, the “paradox of rules”, and a related problem, the “problem of reconsideration”. Then, we propose a solution to, or better dissolution of, the paradox, grounded in an account of the psychological processes underlying rule-application and reconsideration. We claim, that is, that the problem of reconsideration should be answered by appealing to matters of sheer psychological fact. The upsho…
Constitutive Rules: The Symbolization Account
2021
Our aim is to provide an account of constitutive rules in terms of (1) the acceptance of regulative norms, and (2) a cognitive process we call “symbolization” (in an altogether different sense from what J. R. Searle means by this word). We claim, first, that institutional facts à la Searle boil down to facts concerning the collective acceptance of regulative norms in a given community. This, however, does not exhaust what institutional facts are. There is a residue, symbolization. Symbolization, as we understand it, involves a transfer of cognitive models from one domain to another. We introduce this notion by exploring different sorts of games, taking our cue from games of pretend play. In…
Non c’è diritto senza fiducia. In difesa di una concezione fiduciaria dl diritto
2022
The author critically discusses some main points of Tommaso Greco’s book La legge della fiducia. Greco distinguishes two models of law – the fiduciary model and the anti-fiduciary one – and supports the first model with good arguments. This review, while endorsing Greco’s conclusions, emphasizes some reason for perplexity and claims that the anti-fiduciary model of law helps to maintain a critical attitude towards the law.
Logical Operations among Conditional Events: theoretical aspects and applications
2019
We generalize the notions of conjunction and disjunction of two conditional events to the case of $n$ conditional events. These notions are defined, in the setting of coherence, by means of suitable conditional random quantities with values in the interval $[0,1]$. We also define the notion of negation, by verifying De Morgan's Laws. Then, we give some results on coherence of prevision assessments for some families of compounded conditionals and we show that some well known properties which are satisfied by conjunctions and disjunctions of unconditional events are also satisfied by conjunctions and disjunction of conditional events. We also examine in detail the coherence of the prevision a…
On compound and iterated conditionals
2021
We illustrate the notions of compound and iterated conditionals introduced, in recent papers, as suitable conditional random quantities, in the framework of coherence. We motivate our definitions by examining some concrete examples. Our logical operations among conditional events satisfy the basic probabilistic properties valid for unconditional events. We show that some, intuitively acceptable, compound sentences on conditionals can be analyzed in a rigorous way in terms of suitable iterated conditionals. We discuss the Import-Export principle, which is not valid in our approach, by also examining the inference from a material conditional to the associated conditional event. Then, we illus…
Sequentially Forecasting Economic Indices Using Mixture Linear Combinations of EP Distributions
2021
This article displays an application of the statistical method moti- vated by Bruno de Finetti's operational subjective theory of probability. We use exchangeable forecasting distributions based on mixtures of linear com- binations of exponential power (EP) distributions to forecast the sequence of daily rates of return from the Dow-Jones index of stock prices over a 20 year period. The operational subjective statistical method for comparing distributions is quite different from that commonly used in data analysis, because it rejects the basic tenets underlying the practice of hypothesis test- ing. In its place, proper scoring rules for forecast distributions are used to assess the values o…
Probabilistic inference and syllogisms
2014
Traditionally, syllogisms are arguments with two premises and one conclusion which are constructed by propositions of the form “All S are P ” and “At least one S is P ” and their respective negated versions. We will discuss probabilistic notions of the existential import and the basic sentences type. We will develop an intuitively plausible version of the syllogisms that is able to deal with uncertainty, exceptions and nonmonotonicity. We will develop a new semantics for categorical syllogisms that is based on subjective probability. Specifically, we propose de Finetti’s principle of coherence and its generalization to lower and upper conditional probabilities as the fundamental corner ston…
Coherent Conditional Previsions and Proper Scoring Rules
2012
In this paper we study the relationship between the notion of coherence for conditional prevision assessments on a family of finite conditional random quantities and the notion of admissibility with respect to bounded strictly proper scoring rules. Our work extends recent results given by the last two authors of this paper on the equivalence between coherence and admissibility for conditional probability assessments. In order to prove that admissibility implies coherence a key role is played by the notion of Bregman divergence.
The Taylor Rule and the Practice of Central Banking
2010
The Taylor rule has revolutionized the way many policymakers at central banks think about monetary policy. It has framed policy actions as a systematic response to incoming information about economic conditions, as opposed to a period-by-period optimization problem. It has emphasized the importance of adjusting policy rates more than one-for-one in response to an increase in inflation. And, various versions of the Taylor rule have been incorporated into macroeconomic models that are used at central banks to understand and forecast the economy. This paper examines how the Taylor rule is used as an input in monetary policy deliberations and decision-making at central banks. The paper characte…