Search results for "scenarios"
showing 4 items of 54 documents
Shared socioeconomic pathways for climate change research in Finland: co-developing extended SSP narratives for agriculture
2021
AbstractShared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), developed at global scale, comprise narrative descriptions and quantifications of future world developments that are intended for climate change scenario analysis. However, their extension to national and regional scales can be challenging. Here, we present SSP narratives co-developed with stakeholders for the agriculture and food sector in Finland. These are derived from intensive discussions at a workshop attended by approximately 39 participants offering a range of sectoral perspectives. Using general background descriptions of the SSPs for Europe, facilitated discussions were held in parallel for each of four SSPs reflecting very different c…
Editorial: Positive Technology: Designing E-experiences for Positive Change
2019
While there is little doubt that our lives are becoming increasingly digital, whether this change is for the better or for the worse is far from being settled. Rather, over the past years concerns about the personal and social impacts of technologies have been growing, fueled by dystopian Orwellian scenarios that almost on daily basis are generously dispensed by major Western media outlets. According to a recent poll involving some 1,150 experts, 47% of respondents predict that individuals’ well-being will bemore helped than harmed by digital life in the next decade, while 32% say people’s well-being will bemore harmed than helped. Only 21% of those surveyed indicated that the impact of tec…
Project into the Future. Introductory essay on the topic
2021
Investigating the Future is an established practice for the academy and the world of crafts and industry. From the Chicago Columbian Exhibition of 1893 to the two Worlds Fairs of New York City (1939 and 1965) and so on, the future has been foreseen as filled with technology and amazing architecture but not every vision of the future has described promising scenarios. The four visions of the future proposed by Norman Henchey (1978) conceptualized in classes – ‘possible’ (any future), ‘plausible’ (future that makes sense), ‘probable’ (highly likely to happen), ‘preferable’ (the best that could happen) – have been brilliantly described in the ‘Futures Cone’ reinterpreted by Joseph Voros (2003)…
Diseño y estudio empírico del método METRAS de Secuenciación de Eventos en el Marco del Formulario de Registro de Accidentes de Tráfico y de la Inves…
2015
Esta tesis se ha centrado en el contexto del estudio, valoración, mejora, optimización y modernización de los sistemas de información policial de accidentes de tráfico y de su utilidad en el ámbito de la investigación científica en seguridad vial desde la perspectiva estadística. El trabajo se ha concentrado en el diseño y validación de un nuevo protocolo de registro estructurado genérico de la secuencia del accidente desde el marco del formulario estadístico policial de accidentes de tráfico con víctimas. Este protocolo se denomina método METRAS (Measuring and Recording Traffic Accident Sequence). Este método conceptualiza el accidente como un proceso de naturaleza dinámica difícil de cate…