Search results for "stochastic"
showing 10 items of 1018 documents
Analytic evaluation of spectral moments
1988
In this paper an analytic procedure that drastically reduces the computational effort in evaluating the spectral moments of the response of multi-degree-of-freedom systems is presented. It is shown that the cross-spectral moments of any order of two oscillators subjected to a filtered stochastic process can be obtained in a recursive manner as a linear combination of the spectral moment of each oscillator up to the third order separately taken. A numerical procedure is also presented in order to evaluate such first few spectral moments.
Analytical evaluation of structural response for stationary multicorrelated input
1990
Abstract An analytical procedure is presented which can drastically reduce computational effort in the evaluation of the spectral moments of an elastic linear multi-degree-of-freedom system subjected to a stationary multicorrelated input process. The reduction in computer time is possible since the cross-spectral moments of two oscillators can be obtained in recursive manner as a linear combination of the spectral moment of each oscillator taken separately, which is evaluated by means of a very fast numerical technique.
Noise-assisted persistence and recovery of memory state in a memristive spiking neuromorphic network
2021
Abstract We investigate the constructive role of an external noise signal, in the form of a low-rate Poisson sequence of pulses supplied to all inputs of a spiking neural network, consisting in maintaining for a long time or even recovering a memory trace (engram) of the image without its direct renewal (or rewriting). In particular, this unique dynamic property is demonstrated in a single-layer spiking neural network consisting of simple integrate-and-fire neurons and memristive synaptic weights. This is carried out by preserving and even fine-tuning the conductance values of memristors in terms of dynamic plasticity, specifically spike-timing-dependent plasticity-type, driven by overlappi…
Stochastic modeling of Supramax spot and forward freight rates
2015
We conducted an empirical analysis of Supramax spot rates and propose a continuous time process to model the dynamics. The model incorporates features relevant for shipping freight rates, freight rate volatility that varies over time, sudden, big freight rate movements, and short-term, mean-reverting price trends. This suggests some degree of short-term predictability of Supramax spot rates, making shipping different from traditional asset markets, like stocks and currencies, and also most commodity markets. However, this does not imply that arbitrage profits are easily picked up in this market, as, financially speaking, spot freight rates are not traded assets. We instead focus on the rela…
Growth in Average Firm Size of U.S. Industrial Portfolios and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns
2018
This paper shows that growth in average firm size in U.S. industrial portfolios predicts future growth in average firm size. Moreover, the payoffs of industrial portfolios sorted by growth in average firm size in the previous period increase linearly as we move from lowest to highest growth in average firm size. The spread between highest and lowest growth in average firm size is economically large and cannot be explained by exposures to standard risk factors or the asset growth effect (Cooper, Gulen, and Schill, 2008). Principal component analysis reveals that this growth in average firm size effect is linked to the first principal component. Moreover, stochastic discount factor model anal…
Statistical correlation of fractional oscillator response by complex spectral moments and state variable expansion
2016
Abstract The statistical characterization of the oscillator response with non-integer order damping under Gaussian noise represents an important challenge in the modern stochastic mechanics. In fact, this kind of problem appears in several issues of different type (wave propagation in viscoelastic media, Brownian motion, fluid dynamics, RLC circuit, etc.). The aim of this paper is to provide a stochastic characterization of the stationary response of linear fractional oscillator forced by normal white noise. In particular, this paper shows a new method to obtain the correlation function by exact complex spectral moments. These complex quantities contain all the information to describe the r…
A Bayesian analysis of the thermal challenge problem
2008
Abstract A major question for the application of computer models is Does the computer model adequately represent reality? Viewing the computer models as a potentially biased representation of reality, Bayarri et al. [M. Bayarri, J. Berger, R. Paulo, J. Sacks, J. Cafeo, J. Cavendish, C. Lin, J. Tu, A framework for validation of computer models, Technometrics 49 (2) (2007) 138–154] develop the simulator assessment and validation engine ( SAVE ) method as a general framework for answering this question. In this paper, we apply the SAVE method to the challenge problem which involves a thermal computer model designed for certain devices. We develop a statement of confidence that the devices mode…
Stationary and non-stationary probability density function for non-linear oscillators
1997
A method for the evaluation of the stationary and non-stationary probability density function of non-linear oscillators subjected to random input is presented. The method requires the approximation of the probability density function of the response in terms of C-type Gram-Charlier series expansion. By applying the weighted residual method, the Fokker-Planck equation is reduced to a system of non-linear first order ordinary differential equations, where the unknowns are the coefficients of the series expansion. Furthermore, the relationships between the A-type and C-type Gram-Charlier series coefficient are derived.
Non-Gaussian probability density function of SDOF linear structures under wind actions
1998
Abstract Wind velocity is usually analytically described adding a static mean term to a zero mean fluctuation stationary process. The corresponding aerodynamic alongwind force acting on a single degree of freedom (SDOF) structure can be considered as a sum of three terms proportional to the mean wind velocity, to the product between mean and fluctuating part of the wind velocity and to the square power of the fluctuating wind velocity, respectively. The latter term, often neglected in the literature, is responsible for the non-Gaussian behaviour of the response. In this paper a method for the evaluation of the stationary probability density function of SDOF structures subjected to non-Gauss…
Spectral Moments and Pre-Envelope Covariances of Nonseparable Processes
1990
A critical review of the definition of the spectral moments of a stochastic process in the nonstationary case is presented. An adequate time-domain representation of the spectral moments in the stationary case is first established, showing that the spectral moments are related to the variances of the stationary analytical pre-envelope processes. The extension to the nonstationary case is made in the time domain evaluating the covariances of the nonstationary pre-envelope showing the differences between the proposed definition and the classical one made introducing the evolutionary power.