Search results for "uncertainty."
showing 10 items of 972 documents
Rejoinder: Bayesian Checking of the Second Levels of Hierarchical Models
2008
Rejoinder: Bayesian Checking of the Second Levels of Hierarchical Models [arXiv:0802.0743]
PValues for Composite Null Models
2000
Abstract The problem of investigating compatibility of an assumed model with the data is investigated in the situation when the assumed model has unknown parameters. The most frequently used measures of compatibility are p values, based on statistics T for which large values are deemed to indicate incompatibility of the data and the model. When the null model has unknown parameters, p values are not uniquely defined. The proposals for computing a p value in such a situation include the plug-in and similar p values on the frequentist side, and the predictive and posterior predictive p values on the Bayesian side. We propose two alternatives, the conditional predictive p value and the partial…
Estimating completeness in cancer registries--comparing capture-recapture methods in a simulation study.
2008
Completeness of registration is one of the quality indicators usually reported by cancer registries. This allows researchers to assess how useful and representative the data is. Several methods have been suggested to estimate completeness. In this paper a multi-state model for the process of cancer diagnosis and treatment is presented. In principle, every contact with a doctor during diagnosis, treatment, and aftercare can give rise to a cancer registry notification with a certain probability. Therefore the states included in the model are "incident tumour" and "death" but also contacts with doctors such as consultation of a general practitioner or specialised doctor, diagnostic procedures,…
Tests for Differentiation in Gene Expression Using a Data-Driven Order or Weights for Hypotheses
2005
In the analysis of gene expression by microarrays there are usually few subjects, but high-dimensional data. By means of techniques, such as the theory of spherical tests or with suitable permutation tests, it is possible to sort the endpoints or to give weights to them according to specific criteria determined by the data while controlling the multiple type I error rate. The procedures developed so far are based on a sequential analysis of weighted p-values (corresponding to the endpoints), including the most extreme situation of weighting leading to a complete order of p-values. When the data for the endpoints have approximately equal variances, these procedures show good power properties…
On stability issues in deriving multivariable regression models
2014
In many areas of science where empirical data are analyzed, a task is often to identify important variables with influence on an outcome. Most often this is done by using a variable selection strategy in the context of a multivariable regression model. Using a study on ozone effects in children (n = 496, 24 covariates), we will discuss aspects relevant for deriving a suitable model. With an emphasis on model stability, we will explore and illustrate differences between predictive models and explanatory models, the key role of stopping criteria, and the value of bootstrap resampling (with and without replacement). Bootstrap resampling will be used to assess variable selection stability, to d…
Multiple Comparisons of Treatments with Stable Multivariate Tests in a Two‐Stage Adaptive Design, Including a Test for Non‐Inferiority
2000
The application of stabilized multivariate tests is demonstrated in the analysis of a two-stage adaptive clinical trial with three treatment arms. Due to the clinical problem, the multiple comparisons include tests of superiority as well as a test for non-inferiority, where non-inferiority is (because of missing absolute tolerance limits) expressed as linear contrast of the three treatments. Special emphasis is paid to the combination of the three sources of multiplicity - multiple endpoints, multiple treatments, and two stages of the adaptive design. Particularly, the adaptation after the first stage comprises a change of the a-priori order of hypotheses.
Some extensions of multivariate sliced inverse regression
2007
Multivariate sliced inverse regression (SIR) is a method for achieving dimension reduction in regression problems when the outcome variable y and the regressor x are both assumed to be multidimensional. In this paper, we extend the existing approaches, based on the usual SIR I which only uses the inverse regression curve, to methods using properties of the inverse conditional variance. Contrary to the existing ones, these new methods are not blind for symmetric dependencies and rely on the SIR II or SIRα. We also propose their corresponding pooled slicing versions. We illustrate the usefulness of these approaches on simulation studies.
Multivariate nonparametric tests of independence
2005
New test statistics are proposed for testing whether two random vectors are independent. Gieser and Randles, as well as Taskinen, Kankainen, and Oja have introduced and discussed multivariate extensions of the quadrant test of Blomqvist. This article serves as a sequel to this work and presents new multivariate extensions of Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho statistics. Two different approaches are discussed. First, interdirection proportions are used to estimate the cosines of angles between centered observation vectors and between differences of observation vectors. Second, covariances between affine-equivariant multivariate signs and ranks are used. The test statistics arising from these …
Using Interactive Graphics to Teach Multivariate Data Analysis to Psychology Students
2011
This paper discusses the use of interactive graphics to teach multivariate data analysis to Psychology students. Three techniques are explored through separate activities: parallel coordinates/boxp...
On easily interpretable multivariate reference regions of rectangular shape
2011
Till now, multivariate reference regions have played only a marginal role in the practice of clinical chemistry and laboratory medicine. The major reason for this fact is that such regions are traditionally determined by means of concentration ellipsoids of multidimensional Gaussian distributions yielding reference limits which do not allow statements about possible outlyingness of measurements taken in specific diagnostic tests from a given patient or subject. As a promising way around this difficulty we propose to construct multivariate reference regions as p-dimensional rectangles or (in the one-sided case) rectangular half-spaces whose edges determine univariate percentile ranges of the…