Search results for "uncertainty"
showing 10 items of 1010 documents
A BMA Analysis to Assess the Urbanization and Climate Change Impact on Urban Watershed Runoff
2016
Abstract A reliable planning of urban drainage systems aimed at the mitigation of flooding, should take into account the possible change over time of impervious cover in the urban watershed and of the climate features. The present study proposes a methodology to analyze the changing in runoff response for a urban watershed accounting several plausible future states of new urbanization and climate. To this aim, several models simulating the evolution scenario of impervious watershed area and of climate change were adopted. However, it is known that an evolution scenario represents only one of all possible occurrence and it is not necessary the true future state, therefore it is needed to fin…
Multi-Resolution error analysis of predicted absorption coefficients. Method and application to the infrared spectrum of methane at high temperature.
2010
La version V2 inclut les modifications proposées par les reviewers.; International audience; A general method for the estimation of the confidence interval of molecular absorption coefficients is presented. Statistical numerical experiments are implemented to quantify the propagation of errors from line parameters to absorption coefficients or cross-sections as a function of the resolution. The method uses line parameter predictions (position and intensity) with estimated uncertainties derived from global polyad models. This work is especially intended to provide expert information for applications requiring theoretical predictions for which the present state of the art of line by line high…
Reasoning with Vague Spatial Information from Upper Mesopotamia (2000BC)
2015
International audience; Concepts such as near, far, south of, etc., are by its own nature vague. However, they are quite common in human language. In the case of historical records, these concepts are often the only source of information regarding the position of ancient places whose exact location has been lost. In our research, we use digitized written records from Upper Mesopotamia (2000BC) from the HIGEOMES project. Our goal is to provide better understanding of the location of places, based on the analysis of spatial statements. In our approach, we analyse cardinal statements between places with known location. Using this information we construct a probabilistic function representing t…
Fractal Weyl law for open quantum chaotic maps
2014
We study the semiclassical quantization of Poincar\'e maps arising in scattering problems with fractal hyperbolic trapped sets. The main application is the proof of a fractal Weyl upper bound for the number of resonances/scattering poles in small domains near the real axis. This result encompasses the case of several convex (hard) obstacles satisfying a no-eclipse condition.
Methodology for assessment of measuring uncertainties of articulated arm coordinates measuring machine
2014
International audience; The Articulated Arm Coordinate Measuring Machines (AACMM) have gradually evolved and are increasingly used in mechanic industry. At present, measurement uncertainties relating to the use of these devices are not yet well-quantified. The work carried out consists on determining the measurement uncertainties of a mechanical part by an Articulated Arm Coordinate Measuring Machine. The studies aiming to develop a model of measurement uncertainties are based on the Monte Carlo method developed in Supplement 1 of the Guide to Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement [1] but also identifying and characterizing the main sources of uncertainty. A Multi-level Monte Carlo appro…
3D part inspection path planning of a laser scanner with control on the uncertainty
2011
International audience; This article concerns the measurement process of mechanical parts using laser scanners. From the point of view of industrial applications, the objective is to guarantee the measurement accuracy during the scanning with regard to the geometrical product specifications. The proposed method can be summarized as follow: the first step consists of analyzing the interval of tolerance for the different specifications and to attribute to every geometrical entity a maximal uncertainty of measurement. This uncertainty depends on the angle of incidence between the laser plane and the scanned surface. In the second step, an approach based on the concept of visibility is used fro…
Using of a uncertainty model of an polyarticulated coordinates measuring arm to validate the measurement in a manufacturing processsus
2014
International audience; Coordinates Measuring Arms (CMA) are increasingly used to control industrial parts and are often an alternative to CMM controls that require conditions of laboratory measurement and involve significant costs. However, the control of uncertainties is often not guaranteed because the measurement process is complex and there is no standard for setting a framework qualification process of the measurement process.The proposed study, in this paper, is a first approach to model the measurement uncertainties of a CMA with contact sensor. The problem is complex because there are many sources of uncertainty, largely due to variability in the handling carried out by the operato…
Taking digitized points quality into account in geometrical specification measurement by laser sensor
2004
International audience; Today, the new measurement techniques without contact like the laser sensors are used more and more in industrial applications. They allow to obtain many points in a short time. However these techniques have a less good accuracy than the classical process with contact probe for metrology application. The work presented in this paper, is part of a research project on the in-process product inspection. In the case of in-process product inspection, the throughput time must be the shortest with a good dimensional accuracy. So, it is necessary to increase the measurement accuracy of the points cloud for using the laser scanners. For this first approach, we suggest to buil…
3D surfaces automated acquisition using non contact sensor with repect of metrological conditions
2013
International audience
Uncertainty-reducing cooperation scripts in online learning environments
2004
Online learning courses can create new interaction situations for participants who have not previously worked with each other. Initially, there is some degree of uncertainty between participants in these interaction situations. According to the uncertainty reduction theory, low uncertainty increases theamount of discourse and decreases information seeking. Thus, uncertainty may influence online discourseand learning. However, the relation of uncertainty reduction to learning outcomes has not yet been investigated systematically. Cooperation scripts may reduce uncertainty, and therefore enhance learning.A cooperation script, which aims to reduce uncertainty at a cognitive level, was chosen f…