Search results for "volatiliteetti"
showing 10 items of 13 documents
Forecasting the volatility of biofuel feedstock prices: the US evidence
2019
Given that, nowadays, 40% of the US corn crop is used for biofuel production, there is a growing concern that the rise in biofuel production might lead to an increase in food prices. However, it is also obvious that significant growth in biofuel use has minimized the demand for fossil fuel and has hence reduced the volume of carbon emissions. It is therefore crucial to model corn market volatility precisely because such an estimate could play a vital role in stabilizing food and biofuel market prices. For this purpose, we consider using the information content of the corn implied volatility (CIV) index to predict the corn futures market return volatility. Using symmetric and asymmetric GARC…
On the stability of stablecoins
2021
This paper investigates the volatility processes of stablecoins and their potential stochastic interdependencies with Bitcoin volatility. We employ a novel approach to choose the optimal combination for the power law exponent and the minimum value for the volatilities bending the power law. Our results indicate that Bitcoin volatility is well-behaved in a statistical sense with a finite theoretical variance. Surprisingly, the volatilities of stablecoins are statistically unstable and contemporaneously respond to Bitcoin volatility. Also, whereas the volatilities of stablecoins are not Granger-causal for Bitcoin volatility, lagged Bitcoin volatility exhibits Granger-causal effects on the vol…
Implisiittinen volatiliteetti kurssimuutosten ennustajana
2001
Volatiliteetti ja tuotot pohjoismaisilla osakemarkkinoilla
2014
Tämän työn tarkoituksena on selvittää, onko Pohjoismaissa havaittavissa alhaisen volatiliteetin anomaliaa ja tutkia volatiliteetin ja osaketuottojen suhdetta. Volatiliteettia mitataan osaketuottojen yhtiökohtaisella (idiosynkraattisella) volatiliteetilla, sekä yksinkertaisella volatiliteetilla. Tutkimuskysymystä tarkastellaan muodostamalla portfolioita osaketuotoista volatiliteetin mukaan. Käytettävä aineisto on Pohjoismaisilta osakemarkkinoilta vuosilta 1990–2013. Käytetyt hinnoittelumallit ovat CAPM, Fama & French -malli, sekä neljän faktorin malli. Tutkimuksessa ei havaita koko aineistossa tilastollisesti merkitsevää alphakerrointa käytetyillä hinnoittelumalleilla strategialle, joka otta…
Järjestyslukuihin perustuva eksponentiaalinen tasoitus ja volatiliteetin ennustaminen
2009
Fashion-driven Textiles as A Crystal of A New Stream for Stakeholder Capitalism : Amazon’s Endeavor
2020
Fashion reflects changes in socio-economic and cultural life which, in turn, changes fashion, and apparel boosts such change. Thus, in response to a shift in people’s preferences from economic functionality to supra-functionality beyond an economic value, the fashion industry has been gaining momentum worldwide. In the digital economy, the fashion industry is in the midst of global dynamic change stimulating volatility, velocity, variety and dynamism, which necessitate a digital solution. Digital business leader Amazon has succeeded in constructing an R&D-driven disruptive businesss model. This can be attributed to a virtuous cycle among user-driven innovation, advancement of the Internet, …
Asymmetric news effects on exchange rate volatility
2008
Maataloustuotemarkkinoiden sijoittajakäyttäytymisen muutoksen vaikutus USA:n maataloustuote- ja osakemarkkinoiden korreloituneisuuteen
2017
Tässä tutkimuksessa perehdytään siihen, kuinka maataloustuotemarkkinoiden sijoittajakäyttäytymisen muutos vaikuttaa osake- ja maataloustuotemarkkinoiden väliseen korrelaatioon. Tutkittava aineisto koostuu maissin, vehnän, soijapavun, sokerin ja kaakaon päivittäisistä futuurihinnoista vuosilta 1973–2016. Tutkimuksessa osakemarkkinoita kuvaa S&P 500 -indeksi ja raaka-ainemarkkinoita S&P GSCI -indeksi. Aluksi arvioidaan muuttujien keskinäisiä riippuvuussuhteita VAR-mallin avulla. Tämän jälkeen estimoidaan osake- ja maataloustuotemarkkinoiden volatiliteetit ja korrelaatiot DCC-GARCH -mallin avulla sekä arvioidaan muuttujien volatiliteettien ja korrelaatioiden muutosta kahden otoksen t-testin av…
Small fish in big ponds : Connections of green finance assets to commodity and sectoral stock markets
2022
We analyze return and volatility connectedness of the rising green asset and the well-established US industry stock and commodity markets from September 2010 to July 2021. We find that the time-varying return and volatility connectedness have exhibited serious crisis jumps. Some individual assets of both the green and commodity markets are in connection to the US sectoral stock market returns, and the volatility connections are even more common than the return connections. Furthermore, some financial and economic uncertainty indicators manifest positive impacts from the volatility of some `big pond markets for e.g. commodities, whereas some others affect the connectedness negatively. Additi…
Does corn market uncertainty impact the US ethanol prices?
2018
The growing interest in biofuel as a green energy source has intensified the linkages between corn and ethanol markets, especially in the United States that represents the largest producing and exporting country for ethanol in the world. In this study, we examine the effect of corn market uncertainty on the price changes of US ethanol applying a set of GARCH-jump models. We find that the US ethanol price changes react positively to the corn market volatility shocks after controlling for the effect of oil price uncertainty. In addition, we document that the impact of corn price volatility on the US ethanol prices appears to be asymmetric. Specifically, only the positive corn market volatilit…