Search results for "volatility"
showing 10 items of 245 documents
Contagion of Uncertainty: Transmission of Risk from the Cryptocurrency Market to the Foreign Exchange Market
2019
Earlier research documented that cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, have experienced dramatic fluctuations in both market capitalization and market share in recent years. Unsurprisingly, Bitcoin returns exhibit higher volatility than traditional G-10 currencies. Our paper extends earlier research and investigates the potential impact of news originating from the Bitcoin market. Confirming earlier studies, we find that Bitcoin exhibits dramatically higher volatility than the dollar factor. Surprisingly, our findings indicate that only hacking incidents that occur in the Bitcoin market result in high levels of co-movement in the risk of both markets the cryptocurrency and the G-10 currency …
Catastrophic risks and the pricing of catastrophe equity put options
2021
In this paper, after a review of the most common financial strategies and products that insurance companies use to hedge catastrophic risks, we study an option pricing model based on processes with jumps where the catastrophic event is captured by a compound Poisson process with negative jumps. Given the importance that catastrophe equity put options (CatEPuts) have in this context, we introduce a pricing approach that provides not only a theoretical contribution whose applicability remains confined to purely numerical examples and experiments, but which can be implemented starting from real data and applied to the evaluation of real CatEPuts. We propose a calibration framework based on his…
High temperature alloy chloridation at 850°C. Part I: Comparison of Ni-based and Fe-based alloy behaviour
2007
Eight alloys were tested under Ar/Cl 2 atmosphere at 850 °C for 15 min and 1 h. Their gross and net weights were evaluated together with the base metal consumption. Macroscopic and microscopic micrographs, associated with chemical analyses and X-ray diffraction gave the composition and microstructure of the corrosion products. Huge differences were observed if one compared the nickel based alloy behaviour to that of the iron based alloy. Molybdenum and tungsten could also play a role, but it was not clearly defined until now. A tentative evaluation of the best candidates will be given, according the experimental conditions of this work and the chosen criteria. A corrosion index was establis…
COMPUTATION OF LOCAL VOLATILITIES FROM REGULARIZED DUPIRE EQUATIONS
2005
We propose a new method to calibrate the local volatility function of an asset from observed option prices of the underlying. Our method is initialized with a preprocessing step in which the given data are smoothened using cubic splines before they are differentiated numerically. In a second step the Dupire equation is rewritten as a linear equation for a rational expression of the local volatility. This equation is solved with Tikhonov regularization, using some discrete gradient approximation as penalty term. We show that this procedure yields local volatilities which appear to be qualitatively correct.
An IMEX-Scheme for Pricing Options under Stochastic Volatility Models with Jumps
2014
Partial integro-differential equation (PIDE) formulations are often preferable for pricing options under models with stochastic volatility and jumps, especially for American-style option contracts. We consider the pricing of options under such models, namely the Bates model and the so-called stochastic volatility with contemporaneous jumps (SVCJ) model. The nonlocality of the jump terms in these models leads to matrices with full matrix blocks. Standard discretization methods are not viable directly since they would require the inversion of such a matrix. Instead, we adopt a two-step implicit-explicit (IMEX) time discretization scheme, the IMEX-CNAB scheme, where the jump term is treated ex…
“Let’s make lots of money”: the determinants of performance in the recorded music sector
2017
This research analyzes the performance of 467 record labels in eight European countries over a period of 13 years (2003-2015). The main goal is to explain a relative measure of profitability in terms of observed variables, although the nature of the dataset also allows us to include non-observed firm and country effects. To this end alternative models are estimated and three main research questions are tested, namely: (1) the effect of the dual structure of the recorded music market, in which a competitive segment and an oligopoly coexist; (2) the extent and source of the volatility of profits in record labels; and (3) the nonlinear impact of size on performance.
Price-Time Priority and Pro Rata Matching in an Order Book Model of Financial Markets
2011
Using our recently introduced order book model of financial markets we analyzed two different matching principles for order allocation — price-time priority and pro rata matching. Price-time priority uses the submission timestamp which prioritizes orders in the book with the same price. The order which was entered earliest at a given price limit gets executed first. Pro rata matching is used for products with low intraday volatility of best bid and best ask price. Pro rata matching ensures constant access for orders of all sizes. We demonstrate how a multiagent-based model of financial market can be used to study microscopic aspects of order books.
Building a Consistent Pricing Model from Observed Option Prices
1999
This paper constructs a model for the evolution of a risky security that is consistent with a set of observed call option prices. It explicitly treats the fact that only a discrete data set can be observed in practice. The framework is general and allows for state dependent volatility and jumps. The theoretical properties are studied. An easy procedure to check for arbitrage opportunities in market data is proved and then used to ensure the feasibility of our approach. The implementation is discussed: testing on market data reveals a U-shaped form for the "local volatility" depending on the state and, surprisingly, a large probability for strong price movements.
Yet Another Note on the Leland's Option Hedging Strategy with Transaction Costs
2005
In a market with transaction costs the option hedging is costly. The idea presented by Leland (1985) was to include the expected transaction costs in the cost of a replicating portfolio. The resulting Leland's pricing and hedging method is an adjusted Black-Scholes method where one uses a modified volatility in the Black-Scholes formulas for the option price and delta. The Leland's method has been criticized on different grounds. Despite the critique, the risk-return tradeoff of the Leland's strategy is often better than that of the Black-Scholes strategy even in the case when a hedger starts with the same initial value of a replicating portfolio. This implies that the Leland's modification…
Customer benefits of demand-side management in the Nordic electricity market
2016
The increasing share of renewable energy sources is likely to lead to price effects in Nordic electricity market, resulting especially in increased volatility of spot and imbalance prices. The greater price volatility and amount of required balancing power increase the need for Demand-Side Management (DSM) in the electricity market and may as well increase the financial benefits of DSM participants. In this research I study the DSM in electricity mar-ket and evaluate how large the financial benefits of DSM participants could be. Monte Carlo simulation method is used to simulate imbalance prices with different volatilities for Finland and Sweden. The results show that increasing volatility m…