0000000000133746
AUTHOR
Laura Astolfi
Estimation of Granger causality through Artificial Neural Networks: applications to physiological systems and chaotic electronic oscillators
One of the most challenging problems in the study of complex dynamical systems is to find the statistical interdependencies among the system components. Granger causality (GC) represents one of the most employed approaches, based on modeling the system dynamics with a linear vector autoregressive (VAR) model and on evaluating the information flow between two processes in terms of prediction error variances. In its most advanced setting, GC analysis is performed through a state-space (SS) representation of the VAR model that allows to compute both conditional and unconditional forms of GC by solving only one regression problem. While this problem is typically solved through Ordinary Least Sq…
Estimating brain connectivity when few data points are available: Perspectives and limitations
Methods based on the use of multivariate autoregressive modeling (MVAR) have proved to be an accurate and flexible tool for the estimation of brain functional connectivity. The multivariate approach, however, implies the use of a model whose complexity (in terms of number of parameters) increases quadratically with the number of signals included in the problem. This can often lead to an underdetermined problem and to the condition of multicollinearity. The aim of this paper is to introduce and test an approach based on Ridge Regression combined with a modified version of the statistics usually adopted for these methods, to broaden the estimation of brain connectivity to those conditions in …
Estimation of brain connectivity through Artificial Neural Networks
Among different methods available for estimating brain connectivity from electroencephalographic signals (EEG), those based on MVAR models have proved to be flexible and accurate. They rely on the solution of linear equations that can be pursued through artificial neural networks (ANNs) used as MVAR model. However, when few data samples are available, there is a lack of accuracy in estimating MVAR parameters due to the collinearity between regressors. Moreover, the assessment procedure is also affected by the lack of data points. The mathematical solution to these problems is represented by penalized regression methods based on l 1 norm, that can reduce collinearity by means of variable sel…
Testing different methodologies for Granger causality estimation: A simulation study
Granger causality (GC) is a method for determining whether and how two time series exert causal influences one over the other. As it is easy to implement through vector autoregressive (VAR) models and can be generalized to the multivariate case, GC has spread in many different areas of research such as neuroscience and network physiology. In its basic formulation, the computation of GC involves two different regressions, taking respectively into account the whole past history of the investigated multivariate time series (full model) and the past of all time series except the putatively causal time series (restricted model). However, the restricted model cannot be represented through a finit…
Information Transfer in Linear Multivariate Processes Assessed through Penalized Regression Techniques: Validation and Application to Physiological Networks
The framework of information dynamics allows the dissection of the information processed in a network of multiple interacting dynamical systems into meaningful elements of computation that quantify the information generated in a target system, stored in it, transferred to it from one or more source systems, and modified in a synergistic or redundant way. The concepts of information transfer and modification have been recently formulated in the context of linear parametric modeling of vector stochastic processes, linking them to the notion of Granger causality and providing efficient tools for their computation based on the state&ndash
Measuring the agreement between brain connectivity networks.
Investigating the level of similarity between two brain networks, resulting from measures of effective connectivity in the brain, can be of interest from many respects. In this study, we propose and test the idea to borrow measures of association used in machine learning to provide a measure of similarity between the structure of (un-weighted) brain connectivity networks. The measures here explored are the accuracy, Cohen's Kappa (K) and Area Under Curve (AUC). We implemented two simulation studies, reproducing two contexts of application that can be particularly interesting for practical applications, namely: i) in methodological studies, performed on surrogate data, aiming at comparing th…
Single-trial Connectivity Estimation through the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator.
Methods based on the use of multivariate autoregressive models (MVAR) have proved to be an accurate tool for the estimation of functional links between the activity originated in different brain regions. A well-established method for the parameters estimation is the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) approach, followed by an assessment procedure that can be performed by means of Asymptotic Statistic (AS). However, the performances of both procedures are strongly influenced by the number of data samples available, thus limiting the conditions in which brain connectivity can be estimated. The aim of this paper is to introduce and test a regression method based on Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selecti…
Information Dynamics Analysis: A new approach based on Sparse Identification of Linear Parametric Models*
The framework of information dynamics allows to quantify different aspects of the statistical structure of multivariate processes reflecting the temporal dynamics of a complex network. The information transfer from one process to another can be quantified through Transfer Entropy, and under the assumption of joint Gaussian variables it is strictly related to the concept of Granger Causality (GC). According to the most recent developments in the field, the computation of GC entails representing the processes through a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model and a state space (SS) model typically identified by means of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). In this work, we propose a new identification …
Model-Based Transfer Entropy Analysis of Brain-Body Interactions with Penalized regression techniques
The human body can be seen as a functional network depicting the dynamical interactions between different organ systems. This exchange of information is often evaluated with information-theoretic approaches which comprise the use of vector autoregressive (VAR) and state space (SS) models, normally identified with the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). However, the number of time series to be included in the model is strictly related to the length of data recorded thus limiting the use of the classical approach. In this work, a new method based on penalized regressions, the so-called LASSO, was compared with OLS on physiological time-series extracted from 18 subjects during different stress condi…