0000000000247852

AUTHOR

Isabella Cattinelli

Enhanced prediction of hemoglobin concentration in a very large cohort of hemodialysis patients by means of deep recurrent neural networks.

Erythropoiesis Stimulating Agents (ESAs) have become a standard anemia management tool for End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) patients. However, dose optimization constitutes an extremely challenging task due to huge inter and intra-patient variability in the responses to ESA administration. Current data-based approaches to anemia control focus on learning accurate hemoglobin prediction models, which can be later utilized for testing competing treatment choices and choosing the optimal one. These methods, despite being proven effective in practice, present several shortcomings which this paper intends to tackle. Namely, they are limited to a small cohort of patients and, even then, they fail to…

research product

Performance of a Predictive Model for Long-Term Hemoglobin Response to Darbepoetin and Iron Administration in a Large Cohort of Hemodialysis Patients

International audience; Anemia management, based on erythropoiesis stimulating agents (ESA) and iron supplementation, has become an increasingly challenging problem in hemodialysis patients. Maintaining hemodialysis patients within narrow hemoglobin targets, preventing cycling outside target, and reducing ESA dosing to prevent adverse outcomes requires considerable attention from caregivers. Anticipation of the long-term response (i.e. at 3 months) to the ESA/iron therapy would be of fundamental importance for planning a successful treatment strategy. To this end, we developed a predictive model designed to support decision-making regarding anemia management in hemodialysis (HD) patients tr…

research product

How to assess the risks associated with the usage of a medical device based on predictive modeling: the case of an anemia control model certified as medical device.

Background The successful application of Machine Learning (ML) to many clinical problems can lead to its implementation as medical devices (MD), being important to assess the associated risks. Methods An anemia control model (ACM), certified as MD may face adverse events as the result of wrong predictions that are translated into suggestions of doses of erythropoietic stimulating agents to dialysis patients. Risks are assessed as the combination of severity and probability of a given hazard. While severities are typically assessed by clinicians, probabilities are tightly related to the performance of the predictive model. Results A post-marketing dataset formed by all adult patients registe…

research product