The effects of fiscal policy shocks on the business environment
Fiscal policy influences economic conditions through public spending and taxes, generating positive or negative impulses, both on short and long term. The present research focuses on analysing the effects of the discretionary changes in the fiscal policy in seven post-communist countries of the European Union during the period 2000–2018. The autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) has been applied in order to obtain the convergence rates to equilibrium with a clear analysis of the periods needed to achieve the long-run fiscal sustainability. Also, the error correction vector model (VECM), which is based on the autoregressive vector (VAR) model, has been used in the second part of the an…
The Characterization of the Taxation Process in Terms of Tax Culture, as an Element of Novelty
This research does not aim to achieve the optimal taxation, because this is theoretically plausible, but in practice, is an amalgam of principles, roles and objectives, which could not be achieved at the same time, so that the taxation process works in -an ideal way, without negative effects on the economic and social life of societies. Thus, the main purpose of this study is to study the characteristics that give taxation optimal elements, so that the fulfillment of as many of them can lead to a good tax system, in any economy, whether it is a developed or a developing economy. To achieve this goal, the research methodology is based on theoretical research of the opinions and visions held …
Is the Tax Burden a Generating Factor of Fiscal Evasion in South-East Europe?
Tax evasion is a pernicious phenomenon, very widespread in the world, which is closely linked to the system of taxes and fees. This is considered to be a response to the excessive fiscal pressure exerted on taxpayers. Bypassing the law is also closely related to the phenomenon of corruption and its removal is a difficult target, under the existing conditions. The main purpose of this paper is to study the influence of corruption and fiscal pressure on the phenomenon of tax evasion, materialized by the shadow economy indicator. The analysis is carried out over a period of 18 years, namely 1999-2016, for six countries of South-Eastern Europe, member states of the European Union, divided into …
CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY AND INSOLVENCY PREDICTION MODEL
In any competitive economy, the risk of bankruptcy is pervasive. The research aims to contribute in improving the predictive power of bankruptcy and insolvency risk among companies by introducing new methods of processing and validation. This paper investigates the extensive application of the Z score model for predicting the economic-financial stability of Romanian companies in the manufacturing and extractive industries. A list of 37 financial indicators determined on the basis of the balance sheet data of 80 companies for the period 2015–2018 was used. Stepwise Least Squares Estimation through the Forward method allowed the identification of the most relevant ones. Canonical discriminant…
Procyclical, Countercyclical and Acyclical Fiscal Policies
This study is limited to aspects related to the nature of the applied fiscal policy. An analysis with theoretical elements contributes to the understanding of the characteristics of procyclical, countercyclical and acyclic fiscal policies. Moreover, a description of them based on the fiscal instruments used (government revenues and expenditures) facilitates the capture of the main features and implications on the economies of emerging countries compared to developed countries. The study also includes an analysis of the manifestation of gross domestic product before and after the economic crisis of 2008. The data used are quarterly, seasonally adjusted and deflated by GDP deflator to be expr…
THE CORRELATION BETWEEN FISCAL REVENUES OF ROMANIA AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN THE LAST 12 YEARS
The aim of this paper is to study and analyze the evolution of the Romanian fiscal pressure between 2006 and 2017, from a statistical point of view, and the main purpose is to highlight the correlation between fiscal revenues of Romania and gross domestic product. The first part of the paper is based on a comparative research into the level of taxation at the level of direct, indirect taxes and social contributions. This study seeks to highlight the impact of the Romanian fiscal pressure on the economy. The second part of the article seeks to see the correlation between fiscal revenues and gross domestic product (GDP), especially the impact of fiscal revenues on the growth or decline of GDP…
Do Fiscal Rules Constrain Fiscal Policy in Romania?
At both macroeconomic and national level, in recent decades, European tax policies have shown a particular interest in addressing the spectrum of risk issues in terms of maturing the business environment and the lack of sustainable development of the economy. In Romania there has been a significant increase in public debt, which is increasingly threatening fiscal sustainability. This is due to fiscal rules that restrict the applicability of fiscal policy to balancing the national economy. However, fiscal policy did not act in the direction of economic recovery during the crisis that started in the last quarter of 2008, which had a negative impact on the Romanian business environment. Object…