0000000000315759
AUTHOR
Finn Olav Sveen
Emergent vulnerabilities in Integrated Operations: A proactive simulation study of economic risk
Abstract The protection of critical infrastructure requires an understanding of the effects of change on current and future safety and operations. Vulnerabilities may emerge during the rollout of updated techniques and integration of new technology with existing work practices. Managers need to understand how their decisions, often focused on economic priorities, affect the dynamics of vulnerability over time. Such understanding is difficult to obtain, as the historical data typically used for decision support, prediction and forecasting may not be available. We report on the use of group model building and simulation to consider proactively the effects of a 10-year, multi-billion dollar mo…
Using Dynamic Stories to Communicate Security and Safety Issues
System dynamics (SD) models contain valuable insights on complex organizational issues that develop over time. However, for non-experts such models can be complex and difficult to understand. We propose Dynamic Stories, a methodology that uses storytelling, to rephrase expert terminology in simpler to understand action terms, thus overcoming knowledge transfer problems. To show the feasibility of the approach, we present our methodological framework.