A generalized predictive criterion for model selection

Given a random sample from some unknown model belonging to a finite class of parametric models, assume that the estimate of the density of a future observation is of interest San Martini & Spezzaferri (1984) proposed for this problem a predictive criterion based on the logarithmic utility function. The present authors investigate a generalization of this criterion that uses as a loss function an element of the class of α-divergences discussed by Ali & Silvey (1966) and Csiszar (1967). They also discuss briefly the case in which the class of models considered is not exhaustive. Un critere de prevision generalise pour la selection de modeles Supposons que l'on cherche a estimer la densite d'u…