0000000000406659

AUTHOR

Andrey Launov

0000-0002-5282-2693

showing 4 related works from this author

Informal employment in developing countries

2012

There is an ongoing debate among researchers and policy makers, whether informal sector employment is a result of competitive market forces or labor market segmentation. More recently it has been argued that none of the two theories sufficiently explains informal employment, but that the informal sector shows a heterogenous structure. For some workers the informal sector is an attractive employment opportunity, whereas for others – rationed out of the formal sector – the informal sector is a strategy of last resort. To test the empirical relevance of this hypothesis we formulate an econometric model which allows for several unobserved segments within the informal sector and apply it to the …

Selection biasEconomics and EconometricsLabour economicsInformal sectormedia_common.quotation_subjectDeveloping countryDevelopmentTest (assessment)Econometric modelEconomicsLabor market segmentationPerfect competitionComparative advantagemedia_commonJournal of Development Economics
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On the Estimation of the Volatility-Growth Link

2012

It is common practice to estimate the volatility-growth link by specifying a standard growth equation such that the variance of the error term appears as an explanatory variable in this growth equation. The variance in turn is modeled by a second equation. Hardly any of existing applications of this framework includes exogenous controls in this second variance equation. Our theoretical findings suggest that the absence of relevant explanatory variables in the variance equation leads to a biased and inconsistent estimate of the volatility-growth link. Our simulations show that this effect is large. Once the appropriate controls are included in the variance equation consistency is restored. I…

Algebraic formula for the varianceOne-way analysis of varianceStatisticsVariance decomposition of forecast errorsEconometricsVariance-based sensitivity analysisControl variatesLaw of total varianceVariance functionMathematicsFraction of variance unexplainedSSRN Electronic Journal
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The Employment Effect of Reforming a Public Employment Agency

2015

By how much does an increase in operating effectiveness of a public employment agency (PEA) and a reduction of unemployment benefits reduce unemployment? Using a recent labour market reform in Germany as background, we find that an enhanced effectiveness of the PEA explains about 20% of the observed post-reform unemployment decline. The role of unemployment benefit reduction explains just about 5% of the observed decline. Due to disincentive effects resulting from the reform, the reform of the PEA could have had an even higher impact on unemployment reduction if there had been less focus on long-term unemployed workers.

Economics and EconometricsLabour economicsFull employmentmedia_common.quotation_subject05 social sciencesjel:J65jel:E24employment agencies unemployment benefits labour market reform unemployment structural modeljel:J68HPublic employment0502 economics and businessAgency (sociology)UnemploymentEconomicsMarket reform050207 economicsFinance050205 econometrics media_common
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ESTIMATING INCENTIVE AND WELFARE EFFECTS OF NONSTATIONARY UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS

2013

The distribution of unemployment duration in our equilibrium matching model with spell-dependent unemployment benefits displays time-varying exit rates. Building on semi-Markov processes, we translate these rates into an expression for the aggregate unemployment rate. Structural estimation using German microdata allows us to discuss the effects of an unemployment benefit reform (Hartz IV). The reform reduced unemployment by less than 0.1 percentage points. Contrary to general beliefs, the net wage for most skill and regional groups increased. Taking the insurance effect of unemployment benefits into account, however, the reform is welfare reducing for 76% of workers.

Economics and EconometricsLabour economicsIncentivemedia_common.quotation_subjectStructural estimationUnemploymentEconomicsWageMicrodata (statistics)Unemployment rateBeveridge curveWelfaremedia_commonInternational Economic Review
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